Bournemouth v Spurs: A Goal would be nice

It’s important to be upbeat and we don’t want to turn into one of those blogs that is endlessly critical of the side but it does seem that Spurs are running out of steam at a critical stage of the season. The real concern, as we approach what could be our most important game of the campaign, is a lack of goals – just one in our last four games in all competitions and even with Harry Kane missing, that’s a poor stat.

Can we change things around at Bournemouth? Let’s run the rule over Saturday’s lunchtime kick off.

Team News

Moussa Sissoko

Moussa Sissoko

We may not be seeing Jan Vertonghen for some time after the defender was taken off with a worrying head injury on Tuesday night. Jan joins a growing injury list that includes Kane, Harry Winks, Erik Lamela and Serge Aurier.

Moussa Sissoko started on the bench against Ajax and could be required to play a full part on the South Coast while Son Heung-Min returns from suspension. Full teams news will be provided closer to kick off but this is what we know so far.

Match Odds

Recent league form has done little to affect the markets and Tottenham go into this one as favourites at 10/11 with Black Type and Bethard. The draw is on offer at 14/5 with Unibet while a win for Bournemouth finishes things off at best industry odds of 31/10 with SportingBet.

Of course we should win it but form and confidence may be low. If we look at Bournemouth’s recent run, we find one win, three defeats and a draw in that time which is only marginally better than our recent record so it would be wrong to say that the Cherries are coming into this in good shape.

It is interesting to note that they have been useful in front of goal, scoring nine in their last four matches while we’ve just managed the one in the same period. However, Eddie Howe’s men also went down 1-0 to relegated Fulham.

Other Side Bets

Son Heung-Min

Son Heung-Min

We’re relieved to see Son Heung-Min return to the fold and the South Korean is favourite to open the scoring at best odds 4/1 with Unibet and Bethard. Fernando Llorente follows at a top price of 5/1 with Betway and you can also pick up Vincent Janssen at 5/1 with Coral and BetFred.

The problem with Llorente and Janssen – apart from the obvious – is that both may well start from the bench. That leaves them as potential anytime goal picks at best.

Bournemouth first get a mention in the shape of Callum Wilson who is quoted at that same 5/1 with Betway. An England international these days, Wilson could be the likely dangerman on Saturday lunchtime.

It’s back to Spurs from that point with Lucas Moura at best odds of 13/2 with SportingBet, followed by Dele Alli at a top price of 7/1 with Black Type and SportPesa. Another popular option for Spurs will be Christian Eriksen at best odds of 8/1 with SportNation and RedZoneSports while Josh King of Bournemouth is worth a look at a top price of 15/2 with Betway.

In terms of total goals, this is one occasion where we’re not looking to go over certain lines. Tottenham may concede but they will keep things tight at the back but there’s no sign that we’re going to produce a goal-feast of our own. You can take Over 2.5 goals here at 8/13 with Unibet but we think it may be sensible to go Under at 4/3 with Bethard.

On the same basis we’re not terribly excited by the Both Teams to Score bet either. BTTS is available at best odds of just 3/5 with SportingBet but the nature of the game has us taking the ‘No’ option at 7/5 with either Unibet or 888Sport.

Head to Head

Only eight games have so far been played between these two sides and the majority of those have come since Bournemouth made it into the Premier League in 2015/16. There was an isolated FA Cup Tie against the old Bournemouth and Boscombe Athletic which we lost 3-1 and that’s our only defeat to the Cherries so far.

Since then, seven meetings in the league have produced six wins for Spurs and a solitary 0-0 draw. In that time, Tottenham have scored 22 goals and conceded just twice so there is a trend for us scoring a few, even if form doesn’t back that up.

Dangerman

We mentioned Callum Wilson in our goal scorer betting round up and he seems the obvious candidate for our dangerman slot. This is the season that the striker has broken into the England set up and while anyone can be churlish in terms of the caps that are handed around these days, Wilson is off and running with a goal on his second full international appearance.

The former Coventry attacker has 58 goals in 146 overall games for his current club. This season, he’s maintaining that classic striker’s ratio of one in two with 14 goals in 28 EPL matches. There are threats elsewhere in a competitive side but Callum Wilson is the man to watch on Saturday.

Verdict

Being a long term Spurs fan comes with a natural sense of pessimism at the best of times so there’s no real confidence going into Saturday. It’s just a relief that no other club seems to want Top Four either as we’re struggling to maintain the Champions League football that the new stadium deserves.

The clear issue is goals but if we go back just beyond our current poor run we find the team putting four on Huddersfield and three on Manchester City away. I’m not going to tempt fate with the result but in terms of betting tips, these two suggestions are based on what looks likely to be another low scoring affair.

Best Bets:

  • Under 2.5 goals at 4/3 with Bethard
  • Both Teams to Score – ‘No’ at 7/5 with Unibet

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