West Ham United v Tottenham Hotspur: Avoiding a Hammer Blow

west ham unitedWhile the North London Derby is always a nervous 90 minutes, this is a game that I particularly dread. It’s even worse now that West Ham have found a decent team and a manager that threatens to guide them into the European places on a regular basis.

This season, our trip to the London Stadium takes place this Sunday and it’s a 2pm kick off following our Europa Conference League exploits on Thursday night.

Team News

We’re back to those fast turnarounds that follow the European nights so news on possible injuries may be slow to come in. However, the team that capitulated in Holland on Thursday contained none of the players that started the game against Newcastle so Nuno should have the majority of his first choices available.

Matt Doherty remains a doubt while Ryan Sessegnon appears to be ruled out with no date set for his return.

Meanwhile, Thursday’s game against Vitesse was billed as an opportunity for the fringe players to stake a claim for a starting slot against West Ham. It clearly didn’t go well so we can probably expect an identical starting formation to the one that opened last Sunday.

Match Odds

They may be two places below Spurs in the league but home advantage has helped to install West Ham as the pre-match favourites. The best odds on the home win currently stand at 16/11 with VBet and SportNation while a victory for Tottenham is next at a top price of 21/10 with Betway and BetFred.

The Draw completes the result betting and a share of the points can be found at a best of 5/2 with BetFred once again.

Our own league form has picked up with those two straight wins while West Ham come into this game having edged past Everton last weekend. Prior to that, David Moyes’ men lost at home to Brentford so things are patchy in both camps.

I don’t think this is an easy one for the neutrals to call but there could well be some interest in the draw at those tempting 5/2 odds.

Side Markets

Harry Kane has competition in the first goalscorer market via West Ham’s Michail Antonio who has scored five goals in the Hammers’ first eight league games. As a result, the two start as joint favourites to find the net first at 23/5 with Unibet.

Son Heung-Min is next up for us at best odds of 15/2 with VBet while the Hammers’ Andriy Yarmolenko can be found at that same top price of 15/2 with Unibet. Other options from within the Spurs’ camp include Lucas Moura at 10/1 with 888Sport, Steven Bergwijn at 11/1 with QuinnBet, Giovani Lo Celso at 16/1 with QuinnBet and Tanguy Ndombele at 16/1 with VBet.

harry kane tottenham spurs

Harry Kane

Away from individual player betting, Both Teams to Score will be considered as a strong option for this game. For that reason, it carries a short price and can be claimed this week at 3/5 with Vbet.

Moving on to Total Goals and a stake Above the 2.5 line currently attracts best odds of 5/6 with 10Bet but, if we push that higher to Over 3.5, the odds increase to a more interesting 2/1 with SportNation and MansionBet.

We’ll finish off with some Correct Score suggestions and that neutral viewpoint could lead to interest in a 2-2 scoreline which is quoted at 11/1 with Betway and 888Sport. Those that retain faith in our first choice squad can take the 2-1 away win at 10/1 with VBet while the same outcome in favour of West Ham is on offer at 8/1 with BetFred and Novibet.

Last Season

The corresponding fixture last season was played in February of this year and we won’t dwell on it as it’s one to forget. Michail Antonio put West Ham 1-0 up in the first half while Jesse Lingard doubled the lead just after the break.

Gareth Bale set up Lucas Moura who pulled one back on 64 minutes but, while Tottenham rallied, we couldn’t find the equaliser.

While they may seem like something of a bogey team at the moment, that defeat was our first against the Hammers in four matches. Overall, our recent head to head record against them remains respectable and Spurs have won five of the last ten meetings, with two draws and three losses.

Of course, it’s all about winning the next one so what do we think about our chances this Sunday?

Verdict

tottenhamIf I were neutral I would probably look to sit on the fence and back a draw. That wouldn’t be the worst outcome from a Spurs point of view but Nuno and the team will say that they can target three points after a strong run.

It’s certainly been better to watch over the last few weeks with Tottenham looking to be positive, and hopefully the abject type of performances shown against Crystal Palace, Chelsea and Arsenal are now behind us.

West Ham are strong and it will need a repeat of our first half performance at St James’s Park last week. It’s far from impossible and what we need to do is to forget about Thursday and how abject some of the fringe players can be. I must admit I’m struggling in that respect but let’s look to be positive.

In terms of tips, we’ll ignore the usual Both Teams to Score as it just looks too short. Over 3.5 goals is more respectable at 2/1 in what should be an open and attacking 90 minutes.

We’ll also add Sonny to score in 90 minutes at 9/4. We missed out on a profit last week by backing him to open the scoring so let’s play it a touch safer this time and hope that he finds the net for the second Sunday in succession.

Best Bets

  • Over 3.5 Goals at 2/1 with SportNation
  • Son Heung-Min to score at any time in 90 minutes at 9/4 with VBet

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