Spurs v Aston Villa: Opening Three Points Will do Nicely

tottenhamWith Tottenham away to Premier League Champions Manchester City on the second weekend of the new season, it’s imperative that the side gets the campaign off to a winning start. While nobody would want to automatically concede three points to Pep Guardiola’s men before a ball has even been kicked, it’s clearly going to be tough to come back from the Etihad with a positive result.

Against newly-promoted Aston Villa, it’s a different story and with home advantage, the bookmakers expect Spurs to cruise to victory in this 5.30pm kick off.

Team News

We’re writing this preview on transfer deadline day and while there are a number of rumours involving possible signings, we can only discuss the players who we know to be available. Injury news is sparse but in pre-season, Serge Aurier has been absent while Juan Foyth picked up an issue that rules the defender out until September.

It therefore looks certain that Kyle Walker-Peters will start in the right back position that was recently vacated by Kieran Trippier. Son Heung-Min is suspended while Dele Alli may also be a concern but otherwise, Mauricio Pochettino could have a fully fit squad that will see current record signing Tanguy Ndombele make his first team debut.

Match Odds

The result market shows Spurs to be way out in front and the best odds on a home win at the time of writing are the 5/14 quoted by Black Type. The draw is the next option on the list at a top price of 24/5 with Unibet while victory for Aston Villa can be picked up at 10/1 with Unibet and Bethard.

Villa have caused problems for Tottenham in the past but their absence from the Premier League means that Dean Smith’s side are feeling their way back and, they should struggle against the Top Six clubs.

The home win seems the likely conclusion but with precious little value in that 5/14 figure, it’s a case of looking at the side markets.

Other Side Bets

harry kane

Harry Kane

First goalscorer betting is the next port of call and the market has a familiar face at the very top. Harry Kane is favourite to open the scoring at short best odds of 5/2 with 10Bet and SportNation and the striker has happy memories of this opposition. A deflected free kick helped to kick start Harry’s career and he’s the most likely source of goals on Saturday.

In the absence of the suspended Son Heung-Min, Lucas Moura is second favourite to find the net first and you can pick up the Brazilian at a top price of 5/1 with SportPesa and RedZoneSports.

Tottenham players continue to dominate in this section and you can claim Erik Lamela who is available at 13/2 with 10Bet and Bethard while Christian Eriksen is on offer at that same 13/2 with Betway and William Hill.

Even Spurs substitutes Troy Parrott and George-Kevin Nkoudou get a mention before we finally come to Aston Villa’s first representative. His name is Wesley Moraes – more simply, Wesley – and he is quoted at best odds of 14/1 with Black Type.

Wesley is a Brazilian striker and a new signing for Villa. He’s just spent three years with Club Brugge in Belgium where his goal-to-game ratio was around one in three.

Other popular side bets include Both Teams to Score which is available at a top price of 11/10 with Unibet and Betway. It’s rare to see this option head above Even Money but the bookies clearly suspect that Aston Villa are lacking the firepower needed to trouble the scorers.

Elsewhere, Over 2.5 goals comes in at a best of 4/6 with SportNation and RedZoneSports while a popular option in the Correct Score betting could be 3-1 in favour of Spurs at a top price of 45/4 with Bethard.

Head to Head

Games between these two sides date all the way back to 1903 and Spurs have a good overall record in the fixture. There have been 163 matches in total with Tottenham winning 72 and Villa claiming 56 along with 35 draws.

The sides haven’t played in the league since 2016 when Aston Villa dropped down into the Championship but they did play in the FA Cup 3rd round in 2017. Spurs ran out 2-0 winners that day and in fact, we’ve only lost once in our last 17 encounters. That run stretches back to 2008 and as we’ve seen, the bookmakers expect it to continue.

Dangerman

aston villaNew Signing Wesley is an unknown quantity but Spurs should know plenty about Jack Grealish. A failed transfer meant that the midfielder stayed at Villa Park but had the Midlands club not have made it back to the Premier League, us or another top flight club may well have come back in for Grealish this summer.

Long range efforts and a threat from set pieces are his speciality and it may be worth mentioning that Jack Grealish is a 22/1 shot with 888Sport and Royal Panda to open the scoring.

Verdict

Last season has taught us not to tempt fate by predicting any Tottenham victories. Of course we should skate to three points but in any event, that best win price of 5/14 is far too prohibitive.

One concern right now is the definite absence of Sonny and the likely absence of Dele Alli. It puts a lot of pressure on Harry Kane to score the necessary goals – unless a certain P. Dybala is lining up alongside him.

A player who could benefit from the situation is Lucas Moura who should become a definite starter and he’s our first tip for an anytime goal at 6/4. The game itself may well be much tighter than all the markets suggest and while it’s rare to find any true value in the Both Teams to Score betting, odds of 11/10 may be as good as it gets for BTTS this season.

Best Bets:

  • Lucas Moura to Score Any Time at 6/4 with Ladbrokes
  • Both Teams to Score at 11/10 with Unibet

You may also like...

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *