Tottenham Hotspur v Burnley: Spurs Looking to Down the Clarets

tottenhamWith Jose Mourinho having suffered his first defeat as Tottenham Hotspur manager, the team must regroup and look for an immediate bounce back on Saturday afternoon. Standing in the way are a Burnley side who have started slowly this season but will be looking for a repeat of the previous campaign when the Clarets were a much-improved unit during the second half of 2018/19.

Can Spurs get back to winning ways or will Sean Dyche’s men the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium leave with a positive result?

Team News

It’s very difficult to find any confirmed team news on the Thursday morning following a Wednesday night game but there appear to be no further injury or suspension issues within the Spurs camp. That means that Hugo Lloris, Ben Davies and Michel Vorm remain as long term residents of the physio’s room.

The one question surrounds the potential return of Erik Lamela. Ahead of the United game, reporters were pencilling in a possible return to the squad for this clash with Burnley. As yet, there are no confirmed updates but whispers suggest that the date may be premature.

Match Odds

Spurs are out in front in the straight result betting and you can currently pick up the home side at best industry odds of 4/9 with Ladbrokes and Black Type. The draw comes next at a top price of 4/1 with Black Type again while a win for Burnley rounds things off at 7/1 with most outlets including Betway and VBet.

Spurs are in the ascendancy overall while Burnley have lost their last two. However, prior to those dual losses, the Claret’s recorded back-to-back 3-0 wins over Watford and West Ham so we can describe their form as ‘mixed’.

Of course we should win and we should also be confident but who are the players most likely to swing the points in our direction?

Other Side Bets

harry kane

Harry Kane

First goalscorer betting shows an obvious favourite with Harry Kane leading the way at best odds of 14/5 with Unibet and 888Sport. Son Heung-Min has started to become a regular starter under Jose Mourinho and he follows at a top price of 23/5 with Unibet and 888Sport once again.

It’s all Tottenham at the top of this betting market and Lucas Moura is next in line to open the scoring at a best of 7/1 with BetFred. Having found the net against Manchester United for his fourth goal under Jose Mourinho, Dele Alli has shortened overnight to that same top price of 7/1 with VBet and then we find our first representative from the away side.

Ashley Barnes can be claimed in this first goal scorer market at best odds of 9/1 with Unibet and 888Sport while the same two bookies have Chris Wood listed at 10/1.

Regular readers of this column will know that we have our usual set of favourites among the remaining side bets. Both Teams to Score is a typical place to start and this is on offer at best odds of 13/16 with Vbet. This is a typical price for BTTS but for this game we were hoping that it could get closer to Even Money.

In the Total Goals betting, punters can look to play safe and take Over 2.5 goals at a top price of 8/13 with RedZone and VBet. We like to be braver than that where possible and we definitely feel there is scope to push to Over 3.5 which is quoted at 23/15 and that’s with VBet once again.

Correct Score betting has, as always, options for the optimists and the pessimists among us. If there is a goal glut, a scoreline of Spurs 3 Burnley 2 can be picked up at 22/1 with Coral and BetFred. However, a 1-0 away win could be the preference for many neutrals at that same price of 22/1 with William Hill and Royal Panda.

Dangerman

Many Spurs fans will remember Chris Wood for providing a late equaliser in a corresponding fixture between these sides. The New Zealand international striker has been at Turf Moor since 2017 and in that time, he’s registered 30 goals in 86 matches for his present employers. This season, in a mid-table Burnley side, he’s scored six in 13 Premier League games so perhaps Wood should have the shorter prices in his team’s individual goal scorer markets.

As it is, Ashley Barnes is the bookies’ favourite and the former Brighton and Hove Albion forward has six in 14 games so while Burnley’s campaign has got off to a subdued start, their strike force is clearly in reasonable form.

Head to Head

burnleyTottenham Hotspur versus Burnley is a historic fixture and while Spurs have held the advantage in recent meetings, the results balance out over the years. Saturday’s game will be the 115th meeting between the two sides and we currently have 46 wins as opposed to the Clarets’ 41. Completing the list of 114 previous matches are 27 draws.

Since Burnley returned to the Premier League in 2014/15, we had been unbeaten in a run stretching for nine matches but that all ended with a 2-1 reverse in the most recent meeting between the two teams.

Verdict

It’s time to sit on the fence once again. You may not believe in jinxes but is it a coincidence that Tottenham’s bad run under Mauricio Pochettino began when we started this blog? Our reaction is to not tip the winner of the match but to simply say that, of course, we should be coming away with the three points.

It’s all about responding and it will be fascinating to see how Jose reacts to Wednesday’s defeat. Will there be changes or can the boss instill a determination in the regular starting XI that gives them a focus to put things right after a bad showing?

There are just two confirmed tips this time. Dele Alli’s brilliant return to form makes him a strong pick at 7/1 to open the scoring. If he keeps finding the net, those odds will tumble so we suggest taking them while you still can.

Both Teams to Score looks a little short so we’ll finish with Over 3.5 goals. It should be a free scoring afternoon and hopefully, the majority of those goals will find their way into the Burnley net.

Best Bets:

  • Dele Alli to score the first goal at 7/1 with VBet
  • Over 3.5 Goals at 23/15 with VBet

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