Tottenham Hotspur v Chelsea: Spurs Out to Overcome Significant Deficit

tottenhamIf the weekend taught us anything it’s that our first choice starting XI are unlikely to get much rest between now and the end of the season. The second string, having lost to NS Mura in Slovenia, were in danger of capitulating to Morecambe before key substitutions turned the game around.

We can only hope that Antonio Conte is allowed to use the January transfer window to sign some effective reinforcements and to clear some of the deadwood. For now, all available first teamers will be required if we are to have any hope of turning around a 2-0 deficit from the first leg of our EFL Cup semi final against Chelsea.

Team News

The biggest issue for Spurs relates to Son Heung-Min who is set to miss the rest of this month’s fixtures. Sonny has a muscle injury and isn’t expected to return until early February.

Elsewhere, Ryan Sessegnon returned on schedule for the Morecambe game while Steven Bergwijn, who sat out the FA Cup tie, could also be available. Cristian Romero is on the road to recovery but may not be available until next month while it’s hoped that Eric Dier could be fit to return following a bout of illness.

Match Odds

Wednesday’s game kicks off at 7.45 pm and the bookmakers literally cannot split the teams in terms of a win on the night. Victory for Spurs in 90 minutes is on offer at 17/10 with Coral and Betway while you can also get 17/10 with MansionBet on the win for Chelsea.

There is a separate To Qualify market which is far more clear cut. Chelsea are available in this one at best odds of 1/8 with SportNation while you can claim Spurs at 13/2 with Ladbrokes and Coral.

Aside from a shabby opening 35 minutes, there wasn’t too much to choose between the two sides in the first leg. With home advantage and a noisy crowd behind us, a win is certainly achievable but overcoming the two-goal deficit is a much bigger challenge.

Side Markets

Despite plenty of competition from some potent opposition strikers, Harry Kane remains favourite to open the scoring on Wednesday at best odds of 4/1 with Betway. Chelsea’s Romelu Lukaku is next at a top price of 11/2 with Betway while Mason Mount follows at a best of 13/2 with BetFred.

If you want to focus solely on players from within the Spurs camp, Steven Bergwijn and Lucas Moura are both quoted at best odds of 9/1 with 888Sport, Bryan Gil is available at a top price of 11/1 with QuinnBet while Dele Alli is listed at a best of 12/1 with QuinnBet once again.

harry kane

Harry Kane

Moving away from the individual players, Both Teams to Score is quoted for this game at 4/6 with BetFred and Ladbrokes. As we well know, Spurs failed to find the net in the first leg but with home advantage that could be a banker.

In the Total Goals markets, a stake Over the 2.5 line will currently attract best odds of 15/16 with MansionBet and 10Bet. This is an option that rarely gets to Even Money so that’s not a bad figure. However, if we want to find an Odds Against number, we have to go to Over 3.5 goals which comes in at a tempting 11/5 with VBet and QuinnBet.

All that’s left from our regular round ups are the Correct Score suggestions. A 2-0 win for Spurs in 90 minutes would take the game into extra time and this is on offer at 13/1 with NoviBet. Alternatively, a 1-1 draw can be claimed at best odds of 6/1 with 10Bet and SportNation.

Reverse Fixture

There’s not really much to say about the first game at Stamford Bridge. Spurs have a tendency to shoot themselves in the foot early doors in these big games and that was the case last week. In the second half, things were a little brighter but we couldn’t get the goal that would have left us feeling more hopeful about progressing to the final.

In terms of head to head games, it’s been a while since we beat Chelsea inside 90 minutes. If you count last season’s penalty shoot out game as a draw, Tottenham haven’t won in nine matches. Progressing via those penalties could be a good omen and we can go back a bit further to the league cup final of 2008 and the league cup semis of 2002.

2002 in particular was great fun – was it really 20 years ago?! After conceding a 2-1 deficit from the first leg, Spurs won 5-1 at White Hart Lane to progress. A repeat performance seems unlikely but you never know.

Verdict

chelseaClearly the first choice starting XI, barring one or two notable absentees, will be put out for this game. It’s hard to know what to expect: I suspect we may have a great chance of winning on the night but will always be in danger of conceding the away goal that will help our opponents make it through to the final.

With that in mind, we’re just going for just two suggestions this time: We are hopeful, if not supremely confident that Spurs will get on the scoresheet on Wednesday night. Both Teams to Score carries an odds on price but 4/6 isn’t bad if you want something shorter.

The fact that we will need to go for the win makes Over 3.5 goals an attractive proposition. 11/5 is a relatively generous figure in a game with some top strikers on show. Chelsea may try to shut us down but we have to attack and that will leave us with an open game.

Remember, both these suggestions are for 90 minutes only and would exclude any extra time. Let’s also hope that the majority of strikes go into Chelsea’s net.

Best Bets

  • Both Teams to Score at 4/6 with BetFred
  • Over 3.5 Goals at 11/5 with VBet

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