Tottenham Hotspur v Southampton: Spurs or Saints to March On?

tottenhamWe may be out of the Europa Conference League but there’s little respite to be had for a Spurs team looking to finish the season strongly. Premier League postponements around the festive period have contributed to the backlog as we head towards the run in.

On Wednesday, Southampton make the trip to the new White Hart Lane. It’s been another mixed season for the Saints who arrive in mid-table and looking to cause an upset. Both teams won their FA Cup ties at the weekend: Spurs eased past Brighton by three goals to one while Southampton needed extra time and a Kyle-Walker Peters strike to claim a 2-1 victory over Coventry City.

Team News

Saturday’s line up against Brighton revealed two new injury concerns as Japhet Tanganga and Oliver Skipp were both missing from the match day squad. Son Heung-Min and Cristian Romero provided the good news as the pair returned from their respective lay offs.

Both Tanganga and Skipp are listed as doubtful for Wednesday night while Eric Dier is expected to be back in contention. New signings Dejan Kulusekski and Rodrigo Bentancur will be battling for a starting slot and there are no other reported issues with injury or suspension.

Match Odds

Spurs are clear, odds-on favourites for the three points with Novibet currently quoting an industry best of 67/100 on the home win. The draw is next at a top price of 16/5 with Betway while victory for Southampton is out to best odds of 9/2 with MansionBet and VBet.

The Saints should have some confidence after holding runaway leaders Manchester City to a 1-1 draw last time out. That result put them into 12th place in the table while the form guide has them marginally higher. Over the last six league games, Southampton have the tenth best return with nine points while Tottenham have 11 points in the same period of time.

Games between these two can often be tight affairs and few of us will be convinced otherwise by those result odds.

Side Markets

Fresh from his double at the weekend, Harry Kane is favourite to open the scoring in this match and you can claim our main striker at best odds of 16/5 with VBet. Son Heung-Min follows at 19/5 with Unibet while Steven Bergwijn and Lucas Moura are both available at a top price of 17/2 with VBet.

The first option for Southampton followers is Armando Broja at 17/2 with Unibet while other selections from within the Spurs’ camp include Dejan Kulusevski at 11/1 with VBet and Pierre-Emile Hojberg at 17/1 with Unibet.

harry kane

Harry Kane

Our regular round up of side bets takes in Both Teams to Score which is on offer for Wednesday at best odds of 4/5 with QuinnBet. The alternative is to take ‘No’ on BTTS which would return 11/10 with BetFred and MansionBet.

Moving across to Total Goals, going Over the 2.5 line attracts odds of 3/4 with QuinnBet and Betway. By pushing that a step further, the figures increase to 9/5 with VBet and QuinnBet. If, however, you think this one will be a low scorer, you can switch to Under 2.5 goals which is listed at a top price of 23/20 with Unibet.

The indications from the sportsbook suggest that the result could be tight and a 2-1 outcome would currently bring odds of 15/2 with BetFred. Alternatively, the same scoreline in favour of Southampton is on offer at 16/1 with Ladbrokes while the 1-1 draw slots in at 7/1 with Novibet.

Last Season

The corresponding fixture from 2020/21 was Ryan Mason’s first game in charge as interim manager. Our former midfielder got off to a winning start but Tottenham left it late to seal the points in a 2-1 victory.

Danny Ings enjoyed a good run against Spurs while on the South Coast and he opened the scoring on 30 minutes. The Saints held their lead until the hour mark when Gareth Bale curled the ball in from a narrow angle after Lucas Moura’s shot had been blocked.

A 1-1 outcome seemed inevitable until the dying moments. Good old VAR had earlier ruled out Son Heung-Min’s strike but the review system came to Spurs’ rescue when our former right back Kyle Walker-Peters was adjudged to have handled in the box. With Harry Kane absent, Son Heung-Min stepped up to seal the points.

Verdict

southamptonUnless we’re playing one of the top six teams, our comments in this section are generally the same. With greater quality in the squad and a higher league position, Spurs should be winning this one. There’s home advantage too but we know that things are rarely that straightforward.

Without Danny Ings, a Tottenham nemesis has been taken out of the equation and goals have been shared around the current Southampton side. Albanian international Armando Broja arrived on loan from Chelsea at the start of the season and he is the Saints’ leading scorer with seven goals in 22 matches.

We mentioned the top six and the fact that there is work still to be done was highlighted during our most recent league defeat against Chelsea. Away from that game, there have been positive signs and our two January signings – Dejan Kulusekski and Rodrigo Bentancur – slotted in nicely after coming on as second half substitutes on Saturday,

We suspect that the defence is prone to concede as they settle in, especially with the prospect of a new combination in the centre. Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 goals look solid but they are odds-on so we’d suggest pushing to Over 3.5 goals.

As for a goal scorer, it was great to see Sonny back and assisting Harry Kane once again. Refreshed after his layoff, Son Heung-Min is our final pick for an anytime goal.

Best Bets

  • Son Heung-Min to score at any time in 90 minutes at 6/5 with QuinnBet
  • Both Teams to Score at 4/5 with QuinnBet
  • Over 3.5 Goals at 9/5 with VBet

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