Aston Villa v Spurs: Back to League Action – Possibly

aston villaA packed fixture list is in store for much of the remainder of the season and, hot on the heels of Sunday’s FA Cup win, we are away to Aston Villa in the EPL. Dean Smith’s side have been impressive this season and come into this match on the edge of the European places and the Villain’s can provide tough opposition to any side.

Of course, there is a Covid caveat with a number of Villa players having tested positive in recent days. While there is no confirmed news as yet, there are hopeful indications that the game will be on so we’ll continue with our preview and look forward to another 90 minutes.

Team News

So many first team players were rested on Sunday so it’s unlikely that anyone will be added to the existing injury list. That leaves Giovani Lo Celso definitely ruled out while Gareth Bale, who had been a doubt, came off the bench at Marine.

One interesting piece of news concerns Dele Alli with Jose Mourinho seeming to be so pleased with his involvement in the FA Cup that he’ll be in contention for a starting berth at Villa Park. It will be fascinating to see and, whatever your view on his future, a switched on Dele has to be good news in terms of our push for silverware this season.

Match Odds

Tottenham start as clear favourites going into this game and the best odds on an away victory currently stand at 51/100 with NoviBet. The draw is the next option at a top price of 4/1 with SportNation and RedZone while a win for Aston Villa can be claimed at 11/2 with GentingBet.

The table shows that it’s tight between these two teams and Aston Villa would go level on points with Spurs if they win their game in hand. The match odds don’t reflect those respective positions and the neutrals would certainly feel that there is some value in the draw or a home win. There is, of course, the possibility that Villa will be forced to take to the field with a depleted team and it may be that this has influenced the market. With that in mind, let’s consider the side bets before coming to a conclusion.

Side Markets

harry kane spurs

Harry Kane

Harry Kane was rested for Sunday’s game at Marine and our main striker is, once again, the clear favourite to open the scoring. Kane can be picked up at best odds of 14/5 with Unibet and 888Sport while the same two bookmakers have hat trick hero Carlos Vinicius available at a top price of 19/5.

Son Heung-Min watched Sunday’s game from the bench and he is slightly further back at a best of 4/1 while Gareth Bale is quoted at a top price of 21/4 with 888Sport and Unibet. Other options for Spurs in this market include Lucas Moura and Dele Alli at 7/1 plus Steven Bergwijn at 15/2 – all with 888Sport and Unibet once again. Meanwhile the first representative for Aston Villa is Ollie Watkins who is quoted at best odds of 8/1 – also with Unibet and 888Sport.

Moving away from individual bets, Both Teams to Score is available for this game at best odds of 14/19 with SportNation and RedZone. Spurs have kept three clean sheets in succession and, while two of those games have come against lower league opposition, it might be a time to vote ‘no’ on BTTS which would currently return 23/20 with Novibet.

The Total Goals betting for Wednesday night shows best odds of 4/7 with SportNation and RedZone to go Over the 2.5 line. That’s a modest option but pushing that to Over 3.5 will see a top price of 25/19 with VBet. Alternatively, to go Under the 2.5 line will currently convert at a best of 13/8 with BetFred.

As for a more speculative Correct Score bet, we suspect that this will be tighter than the odds suggest. A 2-1 win for Spurs can be claimed at 38/5 with Novibet while the same scoreline in favour of Aston Villa can be found at a mighty 17/1 with Novibet again.

Last Season

Spurs won both games against Aston Villa last season but they were tight affairs. In the corresponding fixture which was played in early February, Son Heung-Min scored in first half and second half injury time to seal a 3-2 victory. This came at a time when a prolific Sonny was covering for an injured Harry Kane before our South Korean joined his teammate in the physio’s room.

VAR played its part across a game where Villa took the lead on 90 minutes through an Alderweireld own goal. Toby made up for things mid-way through the first half as he claimed the equaliser and Sonny’s first strike of the game gave us the lead on the stroke of half time. I must admit, I couldn’t remember too much about this match until YouTube reminded me of Bjorn Engels’ involvement. Having drawn Villa level with a header, the Belgian let a hopeful clearance slip under his foot as Sonny ran on to seal it in the 94th minute.

Verdict

tottenhamThis is so tough to call because we’re not sure what sort of side Aston Villa can put out. If the two teams were at full strength, there would certainly be some value in the result betting with the draw a tempter at those 4/1 odds. Of course, we are trying to be supportive but, from a neutral point of view, that’s a good price.

That same level of uncertainty extends to the side markets and no-one should be looking to bet on Aston Villa players just yet. Spurs’ line up is much easier to predict, however, so we’ll start with Son Heung-Min to open the scoring.

We suspect a dour evening, as opposed to a feast of goals so we’ll finish with Under 2.5 goals which looks quite appealing at a reasonable 13/8 and No on Both Teams to Score. If it is tight and low scoring as we predict, those two side bets will represent two of the more generous options.

Best Bets

  • Son Heung-Min to Score the first goal at 4/1 with VBet
  • Under 2.5 goals at 13/8 with BetFred
  • Both Teams to Score: Bet ‘No’ at 23/20 with Novibet

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