Brighton and Hove Albion v Tottenham Hotspur: Looking for Some Good News

tottenham

With Spurs still fighting on four fronts and the season having started late, the fixture list remains crammed. Following on from Thursday evening’s home game with Liverpool, we’re away to Brighton on Sunday but at least the tie has been pushed back to a 7.15pm kick off.

The Seagulls are one place off the bottom of the table following Wednesday’s 0-0 draw with Fulham and that leaves us as clear favourites but what can we expect from our trip to the south coast?

Team News

The fast turnaround in fixtures doesn’t help when it comes to compiling an authoritative round up in the team news section. However, there is an obvious development with news of Harry Kane’s annual injury. Our striker left the scene with issues in both ankles and an early diagnosis on behalf of Jose Mourinho suggests he’ll be out for a number of weeks.

We’ll follow with what we’re relatively certain about and that’s the absence of Giovano Lo Celso who isn’t scheduled to return until next month. That’s all we know at this stage but it’s the Kane injury that dominates the headlines right now. The big question in his absence is whether Carlos Vinicius fills in or whether Jose leaves Son Heung-Min to cover.

Match Odds

The result market is largely unchanged following last night’s defeat to Liverpool and Spurs will therefore start as favourites at 10/7 with VBet. A win for Brighton follows at best odds of 9/4 with Unibet while the draw completes the betting at a top price of 12/5 with BetFred and Betway.

There’s a new feeling of gloom among supporters, not just because of the alarming defending on Thursday night. Harry Kane’s injuries are becoming inevitable and the question of adequate back up comes to the fore. Prior to the Liverpool loss, we had won four of our last five so perhaps we should be a little more positive but any neutral bettor will surely see some value in backing a positive result for the home team.

Side Markets

Son Heung-Min
Son Heung-Min

Harry Kane is still mentioned by most bookies in the individual goal scorer betting but you should obviously steer clear. In his absence, Son Heung-Min will start as favourite at 5/1 with SportNation and SportPesa while Carlos Vinicius is only marginally further back at 21/4 with Unibet.

Brighton’s Neal Maupay is next at best odds of 6/1 to open the scoring with SportNation and RedZone and, if Gareth Bale ever gets a chance to step onto the pitch then he could convert at a top price of 15/2 with Unibet.

Other options from a Spurs point of view include Lucas Moura at best odds of 9/1 with BetFred, Dele Alli at a top price of 10/1 with BetFred and Erik Lamela at a best of 12/1 with GentingBet.

Moving on to team bets and Both Teams to Score is available at best odds of 4/5 with BetFred and GentingBet and that’s as close to Even Money as we could have hoped for this market. The stats aren’t great – Brighton have scored just four goals in their last five matches and two of those games were FA Cup ties against Newport and Blackpool.

The total goals markets also contain some interesting figures with best odds of 68/67 on offer from VBet. It’s really rare to see that bet head above Even Money but you could push higher to Over 3.5 goals which currently comes in at 53/21 with VBet again.

That just leaves us with the Correct Score betting and an optimistic look at a 2-1 away win is available for this game at 17/2 with GentingBet. The same scoreline in favour of the Seagulls is listed at 10/1 with BetFred while the 1-1 draw carries the shortest price of all possible scorelines at 11/2 with 888Sport.

Last Season

There are times when we come to this section and wince. The corresponding fixture in 2019/20 was a low point and it may just have proved to be the game that effectively ended Mauricio Pochettino’s reign at the club. The result was a 3-0 home win in a match where Hugo Lloris was stretchered off after his error led to Brighton’s first.

Let’s swiftly move on and look for some happier updates within the overall head to head stats. Sunday’s game between the two sides will be the 32nd in senior football. Of those previous matches, Tottenham have won 16, Brighton have won seven and there have been eight draws.

That looks a little brighter and we’ve also won the last two games against the Seagulls – albeit those matches were at home.

Verdict

brighton

Here we go again with a specific point in a season where supporters might expect things to unravel. They may well be right and it’s the injury to Harry Kane, along with the weak manner of Thursday’s defeat that has us worried. The refusal to use key players – Gareth Bale and Dele Alli – is classic Mourinho and it’s all a bit of a concern.

The Brighton game could now give us a clear sign as to where the season might end up and we can still be positive. When Harry Kane bowed out on New Year’s Day last year, Sonny stepped up and we won a few until the South Korean was also injured.

I can see a scenario where Son is pushed up and Carlos Vinicius is left on the bench so let’s start by backing up that faith and taking Sonny to open the scoring. Both Teams to Score looks far more likely after Thursday’s calamitous defensive showing and it’s at a good price this week. I’ve slightly less optimism about the final tip for Over 3.5 goals but it also carries good odds due to Brighton’s recent issues in recent matches. On Sunday, we will no doubt help the Seagulls get back into striking form but hopefully we can edge a higher scoring encounter.

Best Bets:

  • Son Heung-Min to score the first goal at 5/1 with SportNation
  • Both Teams to Score at 4/5 with BetFred
  • Over 3.5 Goals at 53/21 with VBet

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