Spurs v Liverpool: Tough Turnaround After Cup Progression

tottenhamWhile all clubs are having to be accommodating in these unusual times, it does seem unnecessary that Spurs’ FA Cup tie with Wycombe was pushed back to Monday night – three days ahead of a vital league game.

Jose Mourinho began with an XI that, with the exception of Ben Davies and Toby Alderweireld, was unlikely to start against Liverpool but he was forced to bring on Harry Kane, Son Heung-Min, Tanguy Ndombele and Pierre-Emile Hojberg as Wycombe gave us a real battle.

Will this have any effect on Thursday’s match? Read on to discover our thoughts.

Team News

While Jose largely went with a second string to take on Wycombe Wanderers, some of the performances might give him something to think about ahead of the Liverpool game. Harry Winks returned a man of the match performance and, while Gareth Bale squandered many chances to add to his opening strike, there were some brief and frustrating glimpses of his very best.

In terms of definite and potential absentees, Matt Doherty has missed the last two games and there seems to be no confirmation of a possible return date. Dele Alli has a tendon injury concern to go with the fact that Mourinho doesn’t want to include him while Giovani Lo Celso is unlikely to feature before the month is out.

Match Odds

Liverpool are favourites for the win despite conceding home advantage and winning just one game in their last five. Jurgen Klopp’s men are available at odds of 14/11 with VBet while a win for Tottenham can be claimed at 23/10 with Unibet. The draw comes to complete the result market at 13/5 and that comes from Unibet once again.

When we played Liverpool in the reverse fixture on December 16th it was first versus second but both clubs have drifted since that match. The Reds have one draw plus a victory over Aston Villa’s youth team to show from their last five. In contrast, while we slipped following that 2-1 defeat at Anfield, we’ve won five of our last six with a home draw against Fulham the only blemish on that record.

The odds might be mixed up but there could be some value for anyone with the confidence to get behind Spurs here.

Side Markets

This is one of those rare games where Harry Kane has some competition in the first goalscorer betting and this market currently lists Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah as the favourite. Salah is on offer at best industry odds of 22/5 with Unibet to find the net first while Kane is available at a top price of 19/4 with the same bookmaker.

harry kane

Harry Kane

Unibet also offer the best figures of 6/1 on Son Heung-Min and Sadio Mane while Carlos Vinicius is also quoted at a top price of 6/1 – this time with BetFred.

Other options from a Spurs perspective include Gareth Bale at best odds of 9/1 with Betway and SportingBet, plus Steven Bergwijn, Lucas Moura and Dele Alli who are all available at a top price of 12/1 with BetFred.

Elsewhere, Both Teams to Score is predictably short and that’s no great surprise when you look at that list of contenders in the individual goal scorer markets. The best odds for BTTS at the time of writing are the 9/13 on offer from SportNation and RedZone.

Punters will also have to aim quite high to find any potential value in the Total Goals betting. A stake above the 2.5 line will currently return 11/14 with Novibet and SportNation while a push to Over 3.5 brings odds of 37/19 with SportNation and RedZone.

That leaves us with our regular final coverage of the Correct Score bet. Those with a positive outlook can claim a 2-1 home win which is quoted at 10/1 with 10Bet while the same outcome in favour of the away side is on offer at 8/1 with GentingBet and 888Sport. Alternatively, a 2-2 draw can be found at 12/1 with BetFred and GentingBet.

Last Season

While our head to head record against Liverpool is much improved in the last ten years or so, recent results haven’t been going our way. Last season’s corresponding fixture is a good example of this as we went down to a solitary Roberto Firmino strike on the second weekend in January.

We had chances to draw level in the second half but it was ultimately a fruitless performance in a season where Liverpool would ultimately dominate.

For happier memories and our most recent win at home against the Reds, we have to go back to October 2017 and a 4-1 victory at Wembley Stadium when Harry Kane gave Dejan Lovren the runaround. Liverpool aren’t dominant in this campaign and, while a repeat of that performance seems unlikely, we look to have a better chance than we did ahead of last season’s corresponding game.

Verdict

liverpoolLiverpool have returned a dreadful run of results but few of us will be fooled into thinking that this is a good time to play them. It is, however, true that the Reds are not the force that they were last season so the manager will be targeting a win and the form guide certainly points to Spurs ahead of this fixture.

We aren’t going to be lured into tipping the result so we’ll stay with the side markets and start with individual goal scorers. Perhaps we should have mentioned Tanguy Ndombele who gave a shooting lesson to many of his teammates on Wednesday and is available at 13/1 with SportingBet to find the net first. However, we like to get behind Son Heung-Min who seems to be a player for the big occasions. Sonny for an anytime goal offers less exposure and it’s still reasonably priced at 41/20.

Both Teams to Score should be a sound option but it’s very short this week so we’ll take the odds against price of 37/19 on Over 3.5 goals. Finally, we’ll end with our semi-regular tip for either side to win by one goal and just hope that it’s our time to squeeze over the line.

Best Bets

  • Son Heung-Min to score at any time in 90 minutes at 41/20 with Unibet
  • Over 3.5 Goals at 37/19 with SportNation
  • Winning Margin of one goal on either side at 11/8 with Betway

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