Burnley vs Spurs: Clarets Aiming to Climb Away from Trouble

by Matthew Harris · Published 22nd October 2020 · Updated 22nd October 2020

Another side in claret and blue are looking to inflict disappointment on Monday with Burnley waiting to host us at Turf Moor. Sean Dyche’s squad have endured a poor start to the 2020/21 campaign but, after picking up their first point of the season on Monday night, they will be looking to maintain some momentum.

Free scoring Spurs need to keep things tight at the back with issues in defence halting a rise into the top four. What can we expect from this 8pm kick off? Please read on to check out our thoughts.

Team News

We’re compiling this preview ahead of the Thursday night clash against LASK Linz so clearly there may be updates on the injury front that we won’t be able to report on. All we know at this point is that Japhet Tanganga is a major doubt while Eric Dier and Giovani Lo Celso were nearing full fitness in the lead up to that Europa League tie.

In the meantime, you’ll just need to follow the club’s official portals as it makes announcements regarding fitness nearer the time.

Match Odds

Burnley’s dreadful start to the season means that the Clarets are rank outsiders in the betting with best odds available of 5/1 from BetFred for the home win. Victory for Spurs is the clear favourite in this market at a top price of 11/17 with 10Bet and VBet while the draw will tempt many neutrals at a best of 16/5 with Unibet and 888Sport.

It’s been a relatively tough opening for the Clarets but fans will be concerned at some of the results and also the failure to find the back of the net. Monday night’s 0-0 draw with West Brom gave Burnley their first point of the season but, in their three previous defeats, the side had only found the net once. It’s a run that should give us some confidence but this is Spurs and we know that anything can happen in the 90 minutes.

Side Markets

Harry Kane

First goalscorer betting listed here should be checked after Thursday night in the event of any likely layoffs. For now, Harry Kane starts as hot favourite to open the scoring and he can currently be claimed at best odds of 10/3 with VBet.

Spurs players dominate the early betting for this market with Carlos Vinicius at 5/2, Son Heung-Min at 5/1 and Gareth Bale at 11/2 – all with VBet once again. Burnley first get a mention through Chris Wood who can be backed at a top price of 13/2 with Unibet and 888Sport while those same two bookmakers have the same best odds of 13/2 next to the name of Steven Bergwijn.

Other picks from a Tottenham perspective include Lucas Moura at 15/2 with 888Sport, Dele Alli at 15/2 with BetFred and Giovani Lo Celso at 12/1 with Betway.

With just one goal in four games so far this season, Burnley’s record in front of goal doesn’t exactly suggest that Both Teams to Score is nailed on this Sunday. In contrast, BTTS seems to drop in on a regular basis when Tottenham are involved and that’s probably why the bet is short at best odds of 13/15 with RedZone and SportNation.

Both Teams to Score is one of our favoured picks and we also like to stake in the Total Goals betting. Backing over the 2.5 line would currently bring odds of 5/6 with GentingBet but that can be pushed to Over 3.5 where a top price of 28/13 with SportNation and RedZone is attached.

We like to conclude with a Correct Score tip and, anyone approaching Monday night with an optimistic outlook can claim odds of 47/4 with RedZone and SportNation on a 3-1 home win. Alternatively, if you’re looking at this fixture with some dread, the 1-0 away victory is listed at 14/1 with BetFred and GentingBet.

Last Season

We’ve seen from the individual goal scorer betting that Chris Wood carries the shortest price of any Burnley player and the New Zealand international has caused us some problems in the past. In last season’s corresponding fixture, Wood opened the scoring on 13 minutes before Dele Alli equalised from the penalty spot in the second half.

The 1-1 draw came in early March, just before the enforced break in Premier League action and it’s a good reflection of our overall record at Turf Moor. As for Wood, he appears to be the dangerman in this Burnley side and he’s the only Clarets’ player to have found the target this season. He averages around a goal every three games for his current side and last season’s strike wasn’t his first against Spurs.

Verdict

We often say that we should be winning against struggling opposition but that isn’t the case this time. The form guide and the match markets may point towards the away win but Burnley have been tough to break down whenever we’ve made the trip to Turf Moor.

If we were neutral and not stricken with negative bias, we might well be looking to back the draw in this game. However, we are reluctant to tip anything in terms of the result so we’ll stick with our regular set of prop markets.

Burnley’s one goal in four games doesn’t suggest that we should rush to back Both Teams to Score but Spurs’ recent record hints that we should be all over it. The run of goal-feasts will also come to an end at some point but the 28/13 price on Over 3.5 goals looks to be a value pick.

Finally, the anytime goal scorer bet may not get much support, particularly as the player concerned may not even be involved. If he does take to the field, Dele Alli can react in one of two ways to his treatment right now. He can go into a major sulk or he can look to prove a point. If it’s the latter, Dele to score in 90 minutes looks promising at 13/5.