Chelsea v Spurs: Vital Six Pointer at Stamford Bridge
Saturday’s lunchtime kick off at Stamford Bridge could be the defining game as far as Champions League qualification is concerned. A win for Tottenham would take us above rivals Chelsea and into fourth place but we are feeling considerably less confident than we were at the start of the week.
Just as Son Heung-Min was starting to compensate for the loss of Harry Kane, the South Korean picked up his own long term injury that threatens to keep him out for the remainder of the campaign. Sonny had scored six in his last five and the obvious question is, where are the goals coming from now?
Who really wants to get team news updates right now? It’s not been a good week with Sonny joining long term absentees Harry Kane and Moussa Sissoko on the sidelines but at least things don’t appear to have got any worse.
A clean bill of health from Wednesday’s defeat would be welcome in what has been a flat few days. Confirmed team news has yet to arrive from the club at the time of writing but we’re not expecting any new concerns following that midweek Champions League fixture.
Chelsea are odds on favourites across the board and the best possible odds on the home win currently stand at 4/5 from Unibet. The Draw is the next available option at a top price of 3/1 with VBet and 888Sport while a win for Spurs has started to drift and it can now be claimed at 7/2 with 10Bet.
Anyone looking on from a neutral position would make an obvious conclusion in regards to Spurs’ plight. Goals are going to be at a premium in the weeks that lie ahead unless someone can step up to take responsibility. In that five-game period that had seen six goals from Son Heung-Min, Lucas Moura, Dele Alli and Steven Bergwijn had all found the net so it is possible.
It’s not a great build up but we have to hope that the goals continue for the remainder of this campaign. From there it’s a case of Signing a Striker but that’s a story for another day.
Other Side Bets
In the absence of Harry Kane, Chelsea players are dominating the first goalscorer betting which is kicked off this week by Tammy Abraham. The England international is quoted at best industry odds of 18/5 with Unibet and 888Sport but reports suggest that he is under an injury cloud so you may want to avoid him.
Behind the market leader, Olivier Giroud follows at a top price of 24/5 while Michy Batshuayi is available at a best of 5/1 and once again, both of those figures are with Unibet and 888Sport.
Christian Pulisic and Pedro follow on and we finally get a mention through Dele Alli and Lucas Moura who are both listed at best odds of 10/1. Dele can be claimed at that figure with 888Sport and Unibet while Lucas is at 10/1 with SportingBet and SportNation.
Our regular set of side bets continues with Both Teams to Score which is available this week at 10/13 with SportNation. We like this bet to get close to Even Money and that’s not a bad price but is it worth claiming in the current situation? Some fans may disagree and will therefore look to bet ‘No’ in this market at 11/10 with BetFred.
The Overs and Unders market may also carry some danger: Along with Spurs’ obvious issues, Chelsea have drawn a blank in two of their last five games and have scored six goals over that period. It should be safe to go Over 2.5 which attracts odds of 3/4 with SportingBet and Coral but we would be reluctant to push to Over 3.5, despite the more interesting price of 41/20 from 888Sport.
As for the correct score, we think it will be tight, even though we haven’t exactly been upbeat during this preview. A 1-1 draw can be claimed at 6/1 with Ladbrokes and Coral while a 2-1 win for Spurs can be picked up at 14/1 with Coral and BetFred. Meanwhile, that same 2-1 scoreline in favour of Chelsea is quoted at best odds of 8/1 with 10Bet.
Looking at those suggestions it seems wise to look at one of our favourite bets – a winning margin of one goal to either side. It’s dropped in a few times in recent weeks and it’s available for this game at 7/5 with Betway.
If Tammy Abraham doesn’t make the starting XI, Chelsea will be without an obvious dangerman in this fixture. The youngster was the Premier League’s leading scorer for a while but his back up men, Giroud and Batshuayi have not been able to compensate for his absence.
When Chelsea drew 2-2 with Leicester City earlier in the month, both their goals came from the unlikely source of Antonio Rudiger. Frank Lampard’s men do have a better tendency to score from anywhere on the pitch than we do and that could be a telling factor. If we were to single one player out, we would be concerned about Batshuayi. His dismal record of one goal in 14 league games will undoubtedly include some substitute appearances while his tally of five from eight in other competitions suggests he can take responsibility in Abraham’s absence.
Head to Head
165 previous meetings have taken place between these two sides and unfortunately, Chelsea have the upper hand. The Blues have won 71 of those games while we have claimed victory in 54 and there have been 40 draws in that time.
The numbers have been going Chelsea’s way for some time and they have been boosted by our long, winless run at Stamford Bridge. Recent results have improved and, as we often say, it’s all about winning the next one.
You’ll have to forgive any despondency that you may detect in this preview. We’re not moaning and dejected Spurs fans as a rule but Son Heung-Min’s injury was a bitter blow this week. Just as we’d seemingly found a way to compensate for Harry Kane’s goals, another injury strikes and now it’s tough to see where the scoring threat will come from.
We will, however, back a goal in 90 minutes for Lucas Moura. We like Lucas and that Champions League night in Amsterdam will never be forgotten but he’s starting to look like his compatriot Paulinho – a man who just scores enough important goals to go under the radar and escape most of the criticism.
Because we expect Tottenham to find the net, we will also take the Both Teams to Score bet. We will need Hugo Lloris to display the same form displayed against Leipzig but we suspect that Spurs will be breached.
Finally, that winning margin bet of one goal on either side comes in again. We are repeating ourselves here but it’s been a profitable tip so why not include it on your betslip once again.
- Lucas Moura to score anytime at 7/2 with SportingBet
- Both Teams to Score at 10/13 with SportNation
- Winning Margin of one goal to either side at 7/5 with Betway