Dinamo Zagreb v Spurs: Focus on Europe after solid first leg
Spurs travel to Zagreb with a two-goal cushion from the first leg and it was the least we deserved. Dinamo threatened early on and had chances to emerge with an away goal but the Croatians seemed to run out of steam in the second half.
We could have had more but the clean sheet was important and it leaves us in pole position to qualify for the next round. Thursday’s second leg kicks off at 5.55pm UK time but what can we expect?
Having enjoyed a run of good luck with injuries and suspensions, it all seemed to run out in the North London Derby on Sunday. Son Heung-Min limped out early with a thigh injury and while there is no suggested return date at the time of writing, it doesn’t look like he’ll be back anytime soon.
Elsewhere, Giovani Lo Celso has now picked up a back problem and is a doubt, despite having recovered from his previous hamstring injury. Erik Lamela is available as his ban doesn’t apply in Europe but Pierre-Emile Hojberg is suspended, having picked up a second yellow card in the competition during the first leg.
Tottenham go into this match as clear favourites and you can back the away win at 17/16 with VBet. The draw is the next option on the list at best odds of 13/5 with BetFred while victory for Dinamo Zagreb completes the result betting at 11/4 with BetFred and Unibet.
Those are the prices for the result on the night: There is a separate To Qualify market which would certainly be of interest to anyone who expects Zagreb to cause an upset. Spurs are listed here at 1/41 with VBet while punters can get 14/1 with 888Sport if the Croatians were to progress into the last eight.
Based on the first leg, it is tough to see how Dinamo can make it through to the next round but they would be hopeful of winning on Thursday at the very least. Their attacking style of play caused us concerns at times but we should have the depth to come away with what we need on the night.
Trying to guess team selection always makes it tough to call the first goalscorer betting: However, we do know that Son Heung-Min is ruled out so that leaves Harry Kane as the clear favourite to find the net first at best odds of 4/1 with Betway. Carlos Vinicius follows at a top price of 5/1 with Betway again. Gareth Bale is next at a best of 6/1 with Unibet while Dane Scarlett makes an appearance at a top price of 7/1 with VBet.
Dinamo Zagreb’s first representative is Mario Gavranovic at a best of 7/1 with Unibet. Meanwhile, other options from within the Spurs camp include Lucas Moura at 9/1 with Betway, Dele Alli at 9/1 with Unibet, Steven Bergwijn at 11/1 with Betway and Erik Lamela at 23/2 with Unibet.
Moving on, Both Teams to Score is available for Thursday’s match at 13/17 with MansionBet and SportNation. It’s as close to Even Money as this bet gets and with Zagreb now playing at home, it could be worth a closer look this time.
Total Goals betting shows best odds of 9/10 with Novibet and RedZone to go Over the 2.5 line. Once again, that’s a reasonable figure but you could push to Over 3.5 and claim a top price of 23/10 with Unibet.
To round off, it’s over to the Correct Score markets where those with a positive viewpoint can claim a 3-1 away win at 31/2 with Novibet. Alternatively, you could look at 2-1 to Dinamo which would still take Tottenham through. This is quoted at 45/4 with Novibet once again.
Last Time out
Dinamo Zagreb literally went on the attack from the very first whistle, dribbling the ball straight from the kick off directly towards Spurs’ penalty area. Their defence had been tight right throughout the competition and it looked as though we might be in for a tricky evening.
Our first goal from Harry Kane on 25 minutes took the sting out of the Croatians and, while they had chances from that point, the game switched focus and it was all about how many we would score.
The man who we’d identified as a likely dangerman, Mario Gavranovic, was left on the bench. He came on in the second half and, while he did little, the Swiss International has a good scoring ratio and on paper he looks to be Dinamo’s biggest threat.
While we’re never going to be supremely confident about any game that Tottenham go into, we are fairly certain that we should find the net at least once in 90 minutes. In the context of the overall tie, that’s going to be vital in terms of progression. A solitary goal from Spurs would mean that Dinamo Zagreb would need to score four in order to progress and it’s tough to see that happening.
Team selection is, of course, going to be pivotal in the match but we can probably expect a strong bench at the very least with Kane and Bale kept in reserve. As for confirmed tips, Lucas Moura was left with the subs in the first leg but we think he’s more likely to start the game. Lucas for an anytime goal is one of our more common suggestions but if he has some responsibility with Kane and Bale in reserve, we think he can play a more pivotal role.
The odds on Both Teams to Score and Over 3.5 Goals look reasonable and we expect either a high scoring draw or a comfortable away win. Either way, we’re all in need of a lift after Sunday so let’s look forward rather than back and remember that all of these tips are for the result in 90 minutes – excluding any extra time.
- Lucas Moura to score at any time in 90 minutes at 3/1 with Betway
- Both Teams to Score at 13/17 with MansionBet
- Over 3.5 Goals at 23/10 with Unibet