Aston Villa v Tottenham Hotspur: Rearranged Trip to Tackle Some Villains

aston villaThe fixture list had given us a home game against Southampton this weekend but, as they are involved in the FA Cup and we aren’t, Spurs will now travel up the M6 to take on Dean Smith’s Aston Villa.

This is a rearranged match after the scheduled game in January was postponed following an outbreak of Covid-19 in the Villa camp. It’s maintained our crammed schedules but can we emerge with a positive result?

Team News

Thursday night’s debacle doesn’t seem to have added any new names to the injury list. Son Heung-Min remains sidelined although the manager seems to think that he may be available shortly after the international break.

Erik Lamela will sit this out following his two yellow cards last week but Giovani Lo Celso is back in the frame after making the bench against Dinamo Zagreb. For any more updates, check in to watch the manager’s press conference if you can bear to.

Match Odds

Early markets show odds against figures on all three possible results with Tottenham the clear favourites. The away win is available at 16/11 with MansionBet and SportNation while victory for Villa is on offer at best odds of 43/20 with Unibet. Completing the result betting is the draw which is quoted at a best of 5/2 with Unibet once again.

I don’t really know where to start here and if I were neutral I would probably avoid this game. Our form is all over the place and, while we were putting poor teams away prior to last week’s defeat in the North London Derby, Thursday’s game in Zagreb was hard to fathom. Whatever is wrong inside the club, confidence must be low and Aston Villa will believe that this is a good time to be playing Tottenham Hotspur.

Side Markets

Harry Kane remains the favourite to score the first goal on Sunday and you can back our lone striker at best odds of 19/5 with Unibet. Carlos Vinicius is next at 21/4, followed by Aston Villa’s Ollie Watkins at 23/4 and both of those figures are with Unibet once again.

Other options from a Spurs’ point of view include Gareth Bale at 13/2 with VBet, Dele Alli at 10/1 with BetFred and Lucas Moura at 11/1 with 10Bet.

Harry Kane

Harry Kane

Before looking at the team bets, it’s worth just taking a moment to consider Aston Villa’s scoring stats. The Villains have only scored twice in their last five matches and, we have to go back to January 27th against Burnley for the last time they managed two in a game. Both Teams to Score would have landed just twice in their previous seven so surely there will be some value in BTTS this week?

The answer is – not really. SportNation and RedZone are both quoting 13/19 on BTTS and, while that’s a fairly average figure, it’s not great in the context of Villa’s recent stats.

Total Goals betting shows some improvement with MansionBet and RedZone both offering odds of 6/7 to go Over the 2.5 combined line. Anyone wanting to push that to Over 3.5 can claim 11/5 with BetFred.

That leaves us with our Correct Score options and anyone bringing a sense of doom into this game could look to the 1-0 home win which is on offer at 9/1 with GentingBet. A more positive 90 minutes might just leave us with a 2-1 away victory which is quoted this time at 81/10 with Novibet.

Last Season

2019/20 was Aston Villa’s first season back in the top flight and the corresponding fixture at Villa Park was one of the last before football shut down. At that point, on February 16th, Harry Kane was in the physio’s room with Son Heung-Min deputising before the South Korean went down with his own injury issues.

Sonny was pivotal in this match, scoring twice as we came away with a 3-2 win. The other player to have a big say in the game was Villa’s Bjorn Engels who added his side’s second goal after Toby Alderweireld had put through his own net on 9 minutes. Tottenham responded as Toby made amends at the right end of the pitch before Son’s first strike gave us the lead in first half injury time.

With the match at 2-2 and seemingly heading for a draw, Engels missed a simple clearance to allow Sonny through for the winner in the 94th minute. Spurs won both of their league fixtures against Aston Villa but neither of them was straightforward. We were made to work and it could be equally tough to get past Dean Smith’s side on Sunday evening.

Verdict

tottenhamWe’re all a bit angry and hurt after Thursday night’s pitiful display against Dinamo Zagreb and it’s difficult to see how three points at Villa Park would lift many of us out of that mood. It’s a case of each game as it comes until the end of the season and to see if we can be in a better frame of mind at the end of it.

Clearly Aston Villa are having their issues in front of goal right now. It doesn’t mean that the pattern will continue on Sunday but we should be aiming for a clean sheet based on our opponents’ recent record. Ollie Watkins, who has made a reasonable step up since signing from Brentford, is perhaps the main danger with 12 goals across all competitions.

Moving on from there, it is hard to see where our goals are coming from. If we play as we did on Thursday then we may as well stay at home. Anyway – enough of this we should swiftly bring this to a close as it’s getting depressing. Let’s just go with Both Teams to Score, Over 3.5 goals and the first goal of the game from Gareth Bale. For once, the international break is a welcome one and we’ll see you in two week’s time.

Best Bets

  • Both Teams to Score at 13/19 with SportNation
  • Over 3.5 Goals at 11/5 with BetFred
  • Gareth Bale to Score the First Goal at 13/2 with VBet

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