Newcastle United vs Spurs: Heading for the Home Stretch

newcastle unitedThe frustrations of being a Spurs fan have been summed up perfectly in the last few days: Poor performances against Everton and Bournemouth had left many of us dreading the North London Derby but finally, when it was really needed, the team gave us a lift.

At the end of that packed seven day schedule, we have somehow emerged unbeaten with seven points and only one goal conceded. Manager Jose Mourinho would surely argue that this is the whole point and, on that basis, it’s tough to disagree.

It hasn’t always been convincing, however, and the display against Bournemouth, when we didn’t have a single shot on target, has to rank as one of the worst we’ve ever seen. Let’s therefore hope that Sunday’s Spurs turn up when we travel to the north east and take on Newcastle United on Wednesday night.

Team News

Writing the team news updates has been almost impossible while the fixture list has been so packed and this week is no exception. There are few updates following Sunday’s game so the news, as such, is similar to our previous preview. Since starting to compose this, the terrible news relating to Serge Aurier’s family broke, so clearly he may sit this fixture out and our condolences go out to him.

The next doubt is with Dele Alli who has missed the last two matches with a hamstring problem. There was a feeling that Sunday just came a fraction too soon so perhaps Wednesday night is more hopeful in terms of a return.

Elsewhere, Eric Dier has just reached the halfway point of his four match ban while Japhet Tanganga and Juan Foyth are also likely absentees. Otherwise, it may be a case of having a near-full strength squad for Jose at St James’s Park.

Match Odds

Spurs have managed to claim the favourites berth again with Jose Mourinho’s men an odds on pick across the board. Tottenham are available at best industry odds of 5/6 with Coral and Ladbrokes. The draw is on offer at a top price of 11/4 with BetFred while the same bookmaker has the best numbers on the home win at 19/5.

it’s so hard to predict based on the most recent performances. Spurs have certainly been much tighter at the back over the course of the last three games and Newcastle haven’t exactly been prolific in front of goal. A draw would be a reasonable result but, we would clearly look to keep on winning with the faint possibility of a top five finish still up for grabs.

Side Bets

harry kane

Harry Kane

It hadn’t been the most productive return to action for Harry Kane ahead of the North London Derby and he maintained that record on Sunday afternoon. Kane has scored twice since the Premier League’s return but he remains favourite to open the scoring at St James’s Park at best odds of 7/2 with Unibet and 888Sport.

Son Heung-Min did get off the mark in the Arsenal game and he follows at 5/1 with GentingBet while Steven Bergwijn and Dele Alli follow as joint third favourites. Bergwijn is on offer at a top price of 13/2 with BetFred while Dele is listed at that same best of 13/2 with GentingBet.

Newcastle United’s first representative comes in the shape of Dwight Gayle who is quoted at 8/1 with Betway and VBet. Other, longer priced options for Spurs include Erik Lamela at best odds of 11/1 with BetFred and Giovani Lo Celso at a top price of 16/1 with BetFred again.

Our list of regular side bets now moves on to Both Teams to Score which is quoted for this game at best odds of 4/5 with SportingBet and SportNation and it’s not often we see that price get close to Even Money. It’s likely to be based on the fact that Spurs haven’t been too prolific since the EPL came back while Newcastle haven’t scored too many either. The Magpies have registered seven goals in their last five matches but that record does include a 4-1 win away to struggling Bournemouth.

The potential for reasonable value extends to the Total Goals markets where betting Over the 2.5 line will currently be rewarded with best odds of 10/11 with BetFred and GentingBet. It might take a brave punter to push that any further but you can claim 11/5 with VBet and SportPesa to back Over 3.5.

As for the Correct Score, many will want to be positive and look for a repeat of Sunday’s 2-1 win. That would do nicely and the same outcome against Newcastle United is available at 31/4 with SportingBet. Those who feel that we are going to revert to the form shown against Bournemouth can, however, take the 2-1 home win at 57/4 with 10Bet.

Dangerman

Newcastle United’s leading goal scorers have yet to make it to double figures so it’s going to be tough to identify a dangerman for this one. We’ve seen that Dwight Gayle carries the Magpies’ shortest odds in the individual goal scorer betting but he’s managed just three goals in 19 games across the whole campaign.

At the moment, Newcastle’s leading scorer is Miguel Almiron who has managed eight league goals so far in this campaign. Slightly further back is Jonjo Shelvey who has scored just six but has a much better ratio than Almiron of 309 minutes per goal.

He provides a threat from set pieces so perhaps Shelvey is the man to be most aware of on Wednesday night.

Verdict

tottenhamAs we said at the very start of this preview, it’s really impossible to predict Spurs matches with any great confidence these days. Neutral punters would almost certainly look to stay away from the result betting but there can certainly be some value in the side bets.

We expect one recent trend to be broken and that involves the number of goals scored. It’s been a bit of a borefest but indicators are no guarantee moving forward so let’s start with Over 3.5 goals at St James’s Park. Steven Bergwijn may be due a goal while that useful winning margin bet of one goal on either side came in on Sunday and it’s been productive for us across the season. Hopefully the margin will be wider this time but we shall see which Spurs side turns up.

Best Bets:

  • Over 3.5 Goals at 11/5 with VBet
  • Steven Bergwijn to score at any time in 90 minutes at 49/20 with Unibet
  • Winning Margin of one goal to either team at 7/5 with Betway

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