RB Leipzig v Spurs: Last Throw of the Trophy Dice

rb leipzigSpurs are on their worst run for four years and somehow, we have to now turn around a 1-0 deficit in this Round of 16 Champions League match. We’re away from home and without our two main goal threats and needless to say, the odds are stacked against us.

Miracles do happen and we only have to go back less than a year for a couple of fine examples but is there any hope of a repeat in Leipzig on Tuesday night?

Team News

There seems to be one piece of additional team news on Monday morning and it concerns January signing Steven Bergwijn. The Dutch international limped off at Turf Moor on Saturday and, at present, he’s a doubt for the starting line up. Jose Mourinho revealed after the Burnley game that he had intended to take Bergwijn off at around the hour mark but the half time changes forced him into a rethink.

On Saturday, Ryan Sessegnon came back into the squad and it’s also felt that Juan Foyth could now be available. Otherwise it’s as you were with Harry Kane, Son Heung-Min and Moussa Sissoko all in the long term treatment room.

Match Odds

The 90 minute match odds hold no great surprises with RB Leipzig clear favourites at best industry odds of 3/5 with SportingBet. The draw is the next option on the list at 7/2 with Unibet and SportNation while victory for Tottenham rounds it all off at a top price of 5/1 with GentingBet.

Those are the 90 minute odds but what about the To Qualify market which would take into account any extra time? It gets less encouraging here with Leipzig shortening to a best of just 1/5 with GentingBet while Spurs’ progression is priced at 96/19 with VBet.

Nothing is certain except, perhaps, that we won’t be going through on penalties. If you are backing Spurs, the 90 minute result is the best option so let’s keep that positivity going as we look at the players who will surely take us through to the quarter finals.

Side Bets

Dele Alli

Dele Alli

Timo Werner scored the decisive goal in the first game between these sides and the striker is a clear leader in the first goal scorer betting. You can claim the German international at best odds of 11/4 with Unibet and 888Sport while his teammate Patrik Schick follows at 17/4 with Betway.

Spurs players aren’t getting a look in at the top of this market as we move through Emil Forsberg at 6/1 with Sportnation, Dani Olmo at best odds of 13/2 with GentingBet and SportingBet plus Yussuf Poulsen at that same 13/2 with William Hill and Ladbrokes.

Finally we get on to Tottenham’s first representative as Dele Alli slots in at a top price of 10/1 with Unibet and 888Sport. Lucas Moura and Steven Bergwijn follow at a best of 21/2 with the same two bookmakers while Erik Lamela is out at 16/1 with William Hill.

Other potential options from a Spurs point of view might include Giovani Lo Celso at best odds of 20/1 with 888Sport and Unibet and, as a long shot, Toby Alderweireld at 66/1 with GentingBet.

In terms of our other, regular side bets, Both Teams to Score is available for this match at best odds of 5/6 with Betway and SportNation. The one positive that we can offer here is that Spurs have scored six goals in each of their last four matches so, despite losing Son and Kane, we can still find the back of the net. Also, as you will have realised, BTTS would have dropped in across all of those last four games and we feel it’s a safeish bet, even against some tough opposition.

Next we come to Total Goals and for the safer bet of Over 2.5, BetFred and GentingBet provide the best industry odds of 8/11. As we often do, we’d like to go higher and would recommend a serious look at Over 3.5 which returns 9/5 with 888Sport and Unibet.

That leaves us with Correct Score and a couple of suggestions for the optimist and the pessimist. If you feel that this can only go with form, a 3-1 home win is available at best odds of 12/1 with 10Bet but a 2-1 away win which would take us to the Quarter Finals is quoted at 65/4 with SportNation and RedZone.

Verdict

tottenhamWe reported on an obvious dangerman three weeks ago while there were no previous head to head stats between these two teams. We’ll therefore move straight on to the verdict in a moment but to recap, Timo Werner is the main man to watch while his co-striker Patrik Schick also looked lively in the first leg.

Coming into this return, Werner has now scored 25 goals in 37 matches this season while Schick has recorded seven in 17. It’s the type of double act that any UCL side should be looking to field if they are to enjoy a positive season.

Swiftly moving on and of course there is hope of Tottenham progressing into the next round but we can offer nothing more concrete than mere hope. Leipzig are pushing Bayern for the Bundesliga title and that’s no mean feat. They are unbeaten in their last five although the last two matches will have disappointed fans as RB drew against Wolfsburg and Bayer Leverkusen.

We’re not confident and are going to simply move ahead and look at the side bets. We’ve stated that Both Teams to Score looks strong and, in what should be an open and attacking game, Over 3.5 goals also offers some value. We regularly like to pick a goal scorer and we are finding the net right now but the goals have been shared around so this is a tricky pick.

Our suggestion is to take a look at Erik Lamela: Before you laugh, the Argentinian may have a modest scoring record from his time at Spurs but the ratio increases nicely when transferred into Europe. In all European competitions for the club. Lamela has returned 11 goals in 38 matches compared to 33 in 211 overall so we’ll look for that to continue on Tuesday.

Remember, all of these tips are for the 90 minute market and will exclude any extra time.

Best Bets:

  • Both Teams to Score at 5/6 with Betway
  • Over 3.5 Goals at 9/5 with 888Sport
  • Erik Lamela to score at any time in 90 minutes at 13/2 with Unibet

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