Spurs v Newcastle United: Taking Advantage of Magpies’ Woes

tottenhamTottenham have amassed as many points as most fans could have hoped for at this early stage of the season. Last weekend’s 2-2 draw at the Etihad may not have been the most deserved but we absorbed City pressure, scored when we needed to and escaped with the scores level.

A point is a point but Spurs will need to be more positive when they take on Newcastle at home in the late Sunday kick off. The Magpies remain pointless under Steve Bruce so can the hosts take advantage?

Team News

The good news this week is that Son Heung-Min is available again following the end of his suspension. Whether Sonny slots in to the starting XI remains to be seen and a subs berth could be a more likely option.

Meanwhile, Juan Foyth remains on the sidelines through injury and he’s joined in the physio’s room by new signing Ryan Sessegnon. Dele Alli and Ben Davies have returned to training but at the moment, reports aren’t hopeful in terms of either man being involved on Saturday.

Match Odds

As you’d expect, given Newcastle’s poor start to the season, Spurs will start here as hot favourites and the best industry odds on the home side currently stand at 27/100 with Unibet. The draw comes in at a top price of 11/2 with Betway and SportingBet while a win for the Magpies is out at 45/4 with Bethard and SportNation.

Ever the pessimists, we won’t be tipping the home win but this should be a comfortable three points. Tottenham do need to put on a dominant performance following their shaky start against Aston Villa and it will be interesting to look at the starting XI and the approach to the game. With that in mind, Son in with Kane would be the way to go but will either man influence the match?

Other Side Bets

harry kane

Harry Kane

Having dropped down the first goalscorer betting against Manchester City last week, Harry Kane is back at the top of the market for Sunday’s game. You can back the England captain at 11/5 with 888Sport while Lucas Moura and Son Heung-Min are both quoted at 7/2 with William Hill and Royal Panda.

Tottenham players continue to dominate this market with Dele Alli and Erik Lamela both at 6/1 with Unibet while Christian Eriksen drops to a best of 7/1 with Black Type.

As for Newcastle United, we’re having issues finding odds for their new signing Joelinton even though he looks to be passed fit for this game. Instead, their first mention goes to Japanese international striker Yoshinori Muto who is available at 14/1 with 10Bet and Sport Pesa.

We’ll work through our list of other popular side bets starting with Both Teams to Score which is available at best odds of 6/5 with SportingBet. Newcastle have scored just once in their opening two Premier League games and that was a last minute effort in their 3-1 defeat to Norwich City. However, it is rare for this bet to head above Even Money so it may offer some value this Sunday.

Elsewhere, Over 2.5 goals is quoted at 5/8 with Black Type but if we take that up to Over 3.5, we get another odds against price. Both Unibet and Betway have 7/5 on there being at least four goals in the match.

Finally, a 3-1 outcome in favour of Spurs is available at a tempting 11/1 with BetFred.

Dangerman

Newcastle United seemed excited over the arrival of Joelinton but he’s disappointed Magpies’ fans so far. The Brazilian striker arrived from Hoffenheim in the summer although he’s spent much of the last three years on loan at Rapid Vienna. He averages around a goal every four games and has so far drawn a blank in his opening two Premier League matches.

Against Norwich, Jonjo Shelvey proved that he can be a scoring threat from midfield while Joelinton’s possible replacement Muto also has a subdued goals to game ratio. We can start to see why Newcastle are being tipped to go down but a goal can come from anywhere – as we saw against Villa on the opening day.

Head to Head

newcastle unitedSaturday’s game will be the 161st meeting between these two sides and historically, Spurs have had the better of this fixture. Of the 160 games played to date, Tottenham have won 70, Newcastle have claimed 58 victories and there have been 32 draws.

Recently, the record is even better with six wins for Spurs from the last eight. We’ve also won the last four in succession but, prior to that came the painful 5-1 reverse on the final day of the 2015/16 campaign. It’s a good tally but ultimately, it’s all about winning the next one.

Verdict

This could be a good time to play Newcastle – ahead of the international break and at a stage of the season where the side are struggling. A 3-1 loss away to Norwich underlines the problems they may have through the campaign and the Magpies are the new favourites to be relegated at a top price of 7/5 with BetFred.

Of course, Spurs have been shocked by many struggling teams in the past and we only have to go back to the end of the previous campaign to find some pretty poor performances against weaker sides.

Saturday should see an improvement but we will be happier if Son-Heung Min starts in place of Erik Lamela. As an impact sub, Sonny can still turn the game so it wouldn’t be a huge surprise to see the same XI that started the Manchester City fixture.

Goals haven’t been a feature of this tie recently but in terms of tips, we feel that Both Teams to Score and Over 3.5 Goals are looking good for Saturday. With both options at above Even Money prices, they will convert a tidy profit if they land. It should be a high scoring win but, as always, we’d be content with a scruffy 1-0 and three points.

Best Bets:

  • Both Teams to Score at 6/5 with SportingBet
  • Over 3.5 goals at 7/5 with Unibet

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