Spurs vs Brighton and Hove Albion: Back Home for a League Boost

It’s been a mixed week on the road and one which saw free scoring Spurs put into check. The club came away with two 1-0 scorelines from Burnley and Antwerp respectively and, if you were going to make a sacrifice in the last seven days, it would have been preferable that our defeat came in the Europa League.

There’s plenty of time to get through in that competition while league points are vital so let’s try to focus on that hard fought victory against a stubborn Burnley defence. Next up is Graham Potter’s Brighton who have taken five points from their first six games as Tottenham make a welcome return to the new White Hart Lane.

Team News

tottenham

Sunday’s game comes with a 7.15pm kick off and early team news isn’t telling us too much. The substitutions made by Jose Mourinho on Thursday evening were done largely out of frustration rather than any concerns over injuries moving forwards.

What we did learn was that the coach is losing patience with certain people and it’s unlikely, for example, that we will see Dele Alli anywhere near the squad on Sunday. Check the club’s official site for confirmed updates but we can probably expect a starting XI almost identical to the one that took to the field at Turf Moor.

Match Odds

Tottenham go into this game as hot favourites at best industry odds of 33/50 with Novibet while the top price on the away win currently stands at 19/4 from SportNation and SportPesa. Completing the picture is the draw which can be claimed at a best of 13/4 from Unibet and RedZone.

There may be some support for a share of the points among neutrals after a tough week but overall form is solid while the Seagulls have endured a shaky start to the new campaign. Brighton are in a poor run but two 1-1 draws in their last two matches might hint at an improvement and a chance for Potter’s men to come away with something on Sunday night.

Side Bets

Harry Kane Tottenham
Harry Kane

The obvious name of Harry Kane sits at the top of the first goal scorer betting and our main striker is available at 16/5 with VBet. The reserve centre forward always seems to get a high billing in these markets and you can therefore claim Carlos Vinicius at best odds of 4/1 with Unibet and 888Sport.

Vinicius is unlikely to start the game, having been one of three players to be subbed off at half time on Thursday, so we should probably look elsewhere. Gareth Bale is on offer at 24/5 with Unibet and 888Sport once again while Son Heung-Min looks to be a value pick at a top price of 5/1 with VBet. Sonny couldn’t address the problems in Antwerp but he notched the only goal at Turf Moor and is in a prolific run of form.

Brighton’s first representative in the first goal scorer betting is Neal Maupay who is listed at 13/2 with a number of bookmakers including Betway and SportPesa. Meanwhile, other options in a Spurs shirt include Steven Bergwijn at 13/2 with 888Sport, Lucas Moura at 15/2 with Unibet and Giovani Lo Celso at 12/1 with SportNation.

Our regular side bets have let us down in our recent matches with Both Teams to Score a surprise absentee from the winning betslips. For Sunday, however, BTTS hasn’t really been affected with best odds available of 7/10 with Betway and VBet.

Over in the total goals section, Under 1.5 would have been a surprise winner in our last two games against Burnley and Antwerp. We shouldn’t, of course, expect a goal feast every time Tottenham step onto the pitch so perhaps we’ve been getting carried away in recent weeks.

The issue is that, if we bet Over the 2.5 line then the odds are never that exciting. For Sunday, Over 2.5 attracts best odds of 4/6 with GentingBet but, if we push to Over 3.5, it becomes more tempting at a top price of 17/10 with RedZone.

Perhaps we should be looking for alternative side bets but we’ll leave that for next time. For now, we’ll finish with a regular couple of suggestions in the Correct Score betting. Those that are thinking positively and expect a return to the free-scoring Spurs of late can get best odds of 12/1 with 10Bet on a 3-1 home victory. Meanwhile, those who suspect that Brighton can secure their third 1-1 draw in succession will currently get a price of 7/1 from GentingBet.

Last Season

Since Brighton returned to the top flight, our games against the Seagulls have been tighter than we would have hoped. Last season’s corresponding fixture was a fine example of that trend as second half goals from Harry Kane and Dele Alli saw us come back from a 1-0 deficit at the break.

The away fixture is one to forget, especially for Hugo Lloris who suffered that long term injury. It rather summed up Tottenham in the final days of Mauricio Pochettino so let’s not dwell on it.

As for the dangerman on Sunday, we’ve seen that Neal Maupay has the shortest price of any Brighton player in the first goalscorer betting and, while the French striker’s overall career return is a modest one, he’s been prolific so far this season with four goals in the first six Premier League matches.

Verdict

It’s easy to start overthinking these games and it’s also simple to get carried away with results. We’ve been strong in the league so far this season but clearly need to guard against giving away silly goals, especially when we are on top.

Thursday’s poor performance in Belgium can largely be ignored in a game where many changes were made from the side that edged past Burnley. However, that match at Turf Moor might be repeated on Sunday with Brighton taking the same approach and putting 11 players behind the ball.

We may need to be patient but, if we do get an earlier goal this time, it will open up and our following predictions will have a better chance of landing. This is Spurs and we never know what to expect and, while this is exactly the type of game that can trip us up, we should certainly be coming out on top.

Best Bets:

  • Son Heung-Min to score the first goal at 5/1 with VBet
  • Both Teams to Score at 7/10 with Betway
  • Over 3.5 Goals at 17/10 with RedZone

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