Spurs v West Ham: Avoiding the Hammer Blow
A late penalty denied Spurs all three points on Friday night but a draw was a positive enough outcome against one of the league’s form sides. Teams around us largely failed to capitalise so the race for the European places is very much on as we move forward.
On Tuesday, Jose Mourinho’s men host a West Ham side who have proved problematic on their visits in the past so, while Tottenham start as clear favourites, the outcome is anything but clear cut.
The big news ahead of this game is the return of Dele Alli following his one match suspension. Dele may well slot into the attacking area of midfield in what could be the only change from Friday’s starting XI. Lucas Moura could also push for a recall but is listed as doubtful after suffering a head injury in training.
Also listed as doubtful are fringe players Japhet Tanganga, Juan Foyth and Troy Parrott so, with the exception of Dele’s return, the team news is similar to Friday.
Spurs are a short priced option to take all three points on Tuesday and the best available odds on the home side sit at 13/18 with VBet. The same bookmaker has a top price of 16/5 on the draw while a win for West Ham is on offer at 17/4 with SportingBet.
West Ham went down by two goals to nil against Wolves on their Premier League return and the club have won just once in their last five games. We know to our cost that the form book usually means nothing in this fixture so, before committing to the result, we’ll consider some of Tuesday’s available side markets.
Harry Kane is a clear favourite to open the scoring on Tuesday and you can claim the England captain at best odds of 17/5 with Unibet and 888Sport. The same two bookmakers have Son Heung-Min available at 17/4 while Dele Alli is quoted at a top price of 11/2 with GentingBet.
Spurs’ players dominate this market with Steven Bergwijn quoted at a best of 13/2 with Unibet and 888Sport. Having opened the scoring against both Manchester clubs, Bergwijn could be a value bet and he seems almost certain to start. Other potential picks for Spurs include Lucas Moura at best odds of 7/1 with 888Sport and Erik Lamela at a top price of 9/1 with Betway.
West Ham’s first representative is Sebastien Haller who can be claimed at a best of 9/1 with Betway and Unibet. The French Under 21 international has seven goals in 26 matches since arriving from Eintracht Frankfurt last summer.
Moving on to our other, regular side bets and Both Teams to Score is quoted this time at best odds of 14/19 with VBet. West Ham have scored just five times in their last five matches and while we can often help them get back to scoring ways, that looks a little too short this week.
Total goals might just hold some better value: We haven’t exactly seen a glut of scoring action since the Premier League made its tentative return but Over 2.5 goals may be a safer option at best odds of 13/11 with 10Bet. Those who want to be a shade braver can claim 24/13 with SportNation for backing Over 3.5.
As for the correct score tip, this game could ‘buck the trend’ and provide plenty of attacking intent and some reward at the end of the game. Those with a positive outlook can take the 3-2 home win at 22/1 with GentingBet while a 2-2 draw can be picked up at 14/1 with BetFred. Alternatively, a dreadful night could be capped with a 0-1 defeat at 29/2 with SportingBet. Let’s be positive and while a correct score bet is a volatile pick, there are plenty of options available with more likely odds for Tuesday night.
We’ve seen that Sebastien Haller carries the shortest prices in West Ham’s individual goal scorer betting and the French striker is the Hammers’ leading scorer this season. Haller’s seven goals put him ahead of Robert Snodgrass with five and the top two are followed by Mark Noble and Pablo Fornals who both have four.
In terms of goals per minutes played, Snodgrass has the better ratio and it could therefore be argued that he is the true dangerman this Tuesday. It’s hard to be objective in this section as goals against us can come from ‘out of the blue’ as far as this team are concerned. We’ll wait and see but Spurs will be aware of the front two and the fact that Haller was on target in West Ham’s most recent win – a 3-1 victory over Southampton.
As we often used to say before the unscheduled Premier League break, Tottenham should be winning this but we’re not tipping the win with any real confidence. Results have been mixed through the season and the behind closed doors matches have made for a strange overall atmosphere where home advantage counts for little.
As we mentioned, we have yet to see a flood of goals in any EPL game since the league returned but Spurs and West Ham are two sides that could address the issue. For that reason, we’re looking to go above the 3.5 goal line and look to Tottenham to provide the majority of those.
Meanwhile, a number of players looked to be edging tentatively back to form and fitness on Friday. Among those was Son Heung-Min but, if he’s retained in the starting XI, Sonny can make a difference and, at 17/4 to find the net first, he’s carrying a reasonable price. To finish, Both Teams to Score looks the most likely of these three picks so you can consider that option, even if the odds are a fraction shorter than we had hoped.
- Son Heung-Min to score the first goal at 17/4 with Unibet
- Over 3.5 goals at 24/13 with SportNation
- Both Teams to Score at 14/19 with VBet