Brighton v Spurs: Chance for Redemption

brightonFollowing on from the embarrassment of Tuesday night, Tottenham Hotspur have an early chance to rebuild when they travel to the South Coast on Saturday. This is the early lunchtime kick off against a Brighton and Hove Albion side who sit in 16th place under new manager Graham Potter.

The second international break of 2019/20 follows immediately but can we get a morale boosting win or will there be more gloom around the white half of North London?

Team News

There’s nothing too much to report in this section ahead of Saturday’s game. Firstly. Serge Aurier pays the price for his set of yellow cards against Southampton last week and the right back is suspended. With Kyle Walker-Peters and Juan Foyth featuring on benches recently, both are in contention to start at right back with KWP likely to get the nod.

Elsewhere, Giovani Lo Celso continues his recovery from injury and there’s no confirmed news on a starting date for another summer signing – Ryan Sessegnon. We all knew this so the good news is that there appears to be no additional concerns. Dele Alli, Tanguy Ndombele and Harry Winks were all subbed on Tuesday night but the decisions don’t appear to be injury related.

Match Odds

It’s telling that Spurs have started to drift in the result markets. Towards the start of the campaign we would have been a very short option and while we’re still odds on in most places, Black Type and Unibet are quoting best odds of Even Money for the away win.

Completing the betting is the draw at 13/5 with Coral and Betway while a win for Brighton is listed at 3/1 with Unibet.

Brighton will feel that this is a good time to be playing Spurs and why not? They’re not quite Bayern Munich but the Seagulls can take advantage of a team that is struggling at the back to an alarming degree. The key lies in whether Tottenham can respond and start to convince us that they are still capable of delivering a positive season.

Other Side Bets

Son Heung-Min

Son Heung-Min

Harry Kane has maintained a decent scoring ratio throughout these troubled weeks and he remains favourite to open the scoring at a top price of 16/5 with 888Sport and Unibet. The same two bookies have 27/5 available for Son Heung-Min while Lucas Moura follows at 6/1 with Black Type.

Brighton start to come into the frame now with Neal Maupay quoted at that same 6/1 with BetFred and SportingBet while Glenn Murray is also at 6/1 – this time with Betway. We now start to move through Spurs’ midfield with Dele Alli and Erik Lamela both at 8/1 and Christian Eriksen at 9/1 – all with Unibet and 888Sport. Clearly we’d need to see the confirmed starting XI before claiming any of those three in the first goalscorer betting.

In terms of goals markets, Brighton have scored eight goals in nine games across all competitions and have failed to register in four of those matches. Both Teams to Score would therefore seem far from certain at best odds of 9/13 with SportNation and Sport Pesa. This is Spurs, however, so it may be worth taking but that figure looks a little short for us.

We’d look instead at Over 2.5 goals which is available at 13/17 with SportNation and Royal Panda. If that’s still too short, consider Over 3.5 at a top price of 21/10 with Royal Panda again.

In regards to Correct Score, you may want to look at Brighton 1 Spurs 2 at best odds of 33/4 with Bethard or, if you’re still pessimistic following Tuesday’s efforts, a 1-0 home win can be picked up at 12/1 with Coral and BetFred.

Dangerman

Who is this Neal Maupay who has climbed to offer the shortest goal price for any Brighton player? Followers of lower league football will recall him from Brentford days where the Frenchman returned a healthy goals to game ratio and eventually finished with 41 strikes in 95 matches.

Maupay hasn’t quite carried that record over to the Premier League but he’s started with two in seven and Spurs will have hopefully done their homework. As for Glenn Murray, he’s been more of a threat on a long term basis but the 36 year old has only registered once this season – in the EFL Cup.

Head to Head

tottenhamThe teams have only met 28 times prior to Saturday’s game. That may seem a little surprising but while some of us recall our division 2 battles in 1977/78, Brighton have spent most of their existence away from the top flight.

Overall we have won 14 matches while Brighton have claimed the honours in six and there have been eight draws. Since the Seagulls arrived in the Premier League in 2017/18, Spurs have won three and drawn one so we do have the upper hand as far as recent contests are concerned. Interestingly, all 28 meetings have been relatively low scoring affairs – neither side has scored more than three in a match and that mark is reached only rarely.

Verdict

Summarising and staying positive is tough at the moment. We’re not as quick to jump on Spurs as many seem to do on social media but it’s been a difficult few days. Brighton and Hove Albion are not Bayern Munich and of course we should be beating them. Any Premier League side can be tough at home but the Seagulls have started the season slowly and are looking like genuine relegation candidates.

Having said that, Spurs’ form suggests that many punters will want to be on the draw here and that may be a fair conclusion. We’re not going to jinx it any further so it’s just the two tips today and it’s time for Christian Eriksen to answer critics and show that he is bothered about making a positive contribution to Tottenham’s season.

Best Bets:

  • Christian Eriksen to score any time at 17/5 with Unibet
  • Over 2.5 goals at 13/17 with SportNation

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