Ajax v Spurs: Last Throw of the Champions League Dice

The tie might be far from over but Tottenham have it all to do if they are to progress to their first ever Champions League final. We felt hopeful, if not entirely confident, of taking some sort of lead back to Amsterdam but one shot on target in the first leg wasn’t helpful.

At least it was only one goal and two from us on Wednesday night could be enough to claw this back. We should be tight enough at the back but can we possibly get the shots away that can get us through?

Team News

The injury roll call is a familiar one by now: There’s no Harry Kane, no Harry Winks, no Erik Lamela and no Serge Aurier.

The good news is that Son Heung-Min returns following his one-match suspension for the first leg and he will need to be at his sharpest in a side struggling for form in front of goal. That’s all we have so far but confirmed team news will follow directly from the club closer to kick off.

Match Odds

In terms of the result in 90 minutes, we have a close market with odds against prices on all three outcomes. Ajax are the favourites at best odds of 121/100 with Royal Panda while victory for Spurs is next on the list at a top price of 23/10 with Unibet.

Rounding things off is the draw which is available at 13/5 with Betway and Black Type.

If we cross to the To Qualify betting, this is clearer with Ajax way ahead at odds of 2/7 with William Hill. Tottenham to progress is available at a top price of 13/5 with BetFred again.

Clearly the bookies aren’t giving us much hope but do we have the players who can turn this around?

Other Side Bets

Son Heung-Min

Son Heung-Min

For some reason, a number of bookies are offering odds on Harry Kane in the first goalscorer markets. Unless they know something we don’t, avoid the bet – although Harry on crutches might be a better option than others right now. The genuine favourite to open the scoring is Klaas-Jan Huntelaar of Ajax and you can pick him up at best industry odds of Unibet and Black Type.

Former Southampton striker Dusan Tadic is only just behind at a top price of 21/4 with 10Bet and RedZoneSports and then we come to Kasper Dolberg at a best of 11/2 with 888Sport and Bethard.

Spurs first get a mention through Son Heung-Min at best odds of 23/4 with Unibet and SportNation while Fernando Llorente is available at a top price of 7/1 with Betway.

Ajax players largely dominate this market and you could also take a look at David Neres at 8/1 with Betway and Black Type. For Spurs, there is Dele Alli and Christian Eriksen who are listed at the same price of 10/1 with Betway.

In other side bets, the popular Both Teams to Score is on offer at best odds of 8/13 with William Hill and 888Sport. Given Spurs’ issues in front of goal, it may be better to vote ‘No’ on that option and claim 5/4 with Black Type instead.

Alternatively, look to go Over 2.5 goals and get best odds of 8/11 with Unibet. Again, it may be prudent to go under that line and get 21/20 with Black Type instead. Remember, all of those bets are for the result in 90 minutes only and would exclude the possibility of extra time.

Verdict

We studied the dangermen and the head to head stats in our preview from last week so we’ll get straight on and look at finding some winners. As we’ve said before on this blog, we want to be positive – we really do. This isn’t another moaning Spurs account but it is tough to be confident right now.

Saturday’s performance away to Bournemouth produced a new low: Against a side that we’d never lost to in the Premier League, we should have been coasting and securing top four but instead, nine men were trying, and ultimately failing to hold on.

With odds against prices across all three possible 90 minute results, you may well want to take that 121/100 figure on Ajax to win. We wouldn’t blame you and in fact, we may as well offer that as an honest tip based on current form.

We’ll be positive in the sense that we should get on the scoresheet here. Sonny is rarely out of form for long and if he gets the service, he should find the target. It may ultimately be fruitless but let’s all hope that with other EPL results going our way at the weekend, we can finish the season on a high after all.

Best Bets:

  • Ajax to win (90 minutes) at 121/100 with Royal Panda
  • Son Heung-Min to score any time in 90 minutes at 2/1 with Unibet

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