Fulham v Spurs: Tricky Trip to Improving Cottagers
Back to back 4-0 home wins against admittedly weaker opposition has given us a bit of a lift following a difficult run. With key creative players given more of a chance, the team has looked far better in those games against Wolfsberger and Burnley so can we keep that momentum going into midweek?
Next up is a trip across London to face a Fulham side who sit in the relegation zone ahead of Thursday night’s 6pm kick off. Under our former midfielder Scott Parker, The Cottagers have struggled for much of the season but an improvement in form has offered hope of an escape.
According to reports, Giovani Lo Celso is the only man keeping Spurs away from a clean bill of health. Jose Mourinho indicated that the Argentinian midfielder might be involved against Crystal Palace at the weekend although a more likely return date may be the North London Derby on March 14th.
Gareth Bale limped for a while following a heavy challenge in the first half against Burnley but he emerged for the second period so we assume all is OK. Whether Jose continues to start him in a packed fixture schedule remains to be seen but he is available, as are the majority of the squad.
Fulham’s recent improvements on the pitch have made this a tighter result market than many might have expected. Spurs remain favourites at best odds of 21/20 with Betway while the home win is on offer at a top price of 3/1 with Unibet. In between the two is the draw with the best numbers coming from Unibet once again at 27/10.
Having looked doomed a few weeks ago, Fulham are now third from bottom and just three points behind Newcastle and Brighton. They’re unbeaten in their last five and, of course, we don’t need reminding that Parker’s men took a point from us in the delayed reverse fixture.
It may be a tough 90 minutes but we should still emerge with the points if we can maintain our own, more recent, return to form.
Gareth Bale took the headlines with his double strike against Burnley but Harry Kane was also on target and our main striker is favourite to open the scoring on Thursday. Kane is available at best odds of 17/5 with Unibet while the same bookmaker offers the top prices on Carlos Vinicius at 19/4 and Son Heung-Min at 5/1. Elsewhere, Gareth Bale is quoted at a best of 6/1 with BetFred while Dele Alli is back at a top price of 9/1 with Unibet again.
In between is Fulham’s first representative, Josh Maja at best odds of 15/2 with Unibet. Maja is on loan from Bordeaux and has scored two goals in his first three games for the Cottagers. Meanwhile, other options in a Spurs shirt include Lucas Moura at 10/1 with MansionBet, Erik Lamela at 12/1 with 10Bet and Steven Bergwijn at 12/1 with SportPesa.
Moving on from individual markets and we have Both Teams to Score listed at best odds of 19/20 with MansionBet. We’ve not seen this drop in with too much regularity lately and with Hugo Lloris completing his 100th Premier League clean sheet on Sunday, you may want to skip BTTS. Interestingly, Both Teams to Score would have only dropped in once during Fulham’s last five matches so the ‘no’ option for this bet is worth considering at Even Money with BetFred.
In the Total Goals markets, betting Over the 2.5 line brings best odds of 21/20 with SportNation. It’s rare to see this pick head beyond Even Money but you may want to push a little higher and take Over 3.5 at 13/5 with Unibet.
That just leaves us with our usual, tentative foray into the Correct Score market. Looking on the bright side, a 2-1 away win can be taken at 8/1 with GentingBet while the same outcome in favour of Fulham is quoted at 12/1 with VBet.
Head to Head
Fulham were playing in the Championship last season so there is no corresponding fixture from 2019/20. Instead, we’ll take a look at the head to head results which show that the teams have played each other 99 times since they first met in a Southern League game back in 1903.
As the 100th senior match between Fulham and Tottenham, Thursday’s fixture is something of a historical one and that history shows that we have the upper hand. Of the previous 99 encounters, Spurs have won 51, Fulham have won 18 and there have been 30 draws.
Tottenham are unbeaten in the last six in a record stretching back to 2013 but our run of five straight wins was broken by that disappointing home draw on January 13th. Obviously it’s all about winning the next one but it is interesting to go through historical results and the overall statistics are generally a fair representation of the strengths of the two squads.
If you can somehow think as a neutral, this would be a tough game to call. Fulham have made some clear improvements and the loan signing of Josh Maja looks to have been a shrewd capture on behalf of the club. Home advantage will count for little but the form guide might just point those neutrals towards the draw.
Our recent form and the return of Gareth Bale plus the potential for Dele Alli to come on as an impact sub offers us more hope moving into March. Like many, we would like to see Dele start but a likely introduction from the bench is better than nothing.
So, we should win it but we say that quite a lot: As for confirmed tips, the stats aren’t too encouraging in terms of goals. However, on the basis that trends are there to be broken, we’ll stake Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 goals. Both markets carry higher prices than usual but they’re not that exciting so we’ll add in Son Heung-Min to open the scoring.
Sonny didn’t quite have his shooting boots with him on Sunday but he won’t be out of touch for long so we’ll put our faith in him and look for another three points.
- Son Heung-Min to score the first goal at 5/1 with Unibet
- Both Teams to Score at 19/20 with MansionBet
- Over 2.5 Goals at 21/20 with SportNation