Arsenal v Tottenham Hotspur: Time to Respond After Dip in League Form

arsenalIt was a promising start to 2021/22 and one that had us hoping for a productive season following a summer of chaos. Three wins by an identical 1-0 scoreline saw Tottenham claim top spot while Nuno Espirito Santo was named as the Manager of the Month for August.

At the opposite end of the table were Arsenal and how we all laughed. Since then, back to back 3-0 defeats mean that the Gunners will draw level on points with Spurs with victory in Sunday’s North London Derby.

Can we lift ourselves following that poor run? Could that penalty shootout win over Wolves offer some inspiration? Let’s see what the sportsbooks make of things.

Team News

Nuno fielded a strong team in Wednesday’s EFL Cup tie and thankfully everyone involved seemed to come through unscathed. Of those who were already injured, the news is less positive with Lucas Moura, Steven Bergwijn and Ryan Sessegnon all likely to miss out.

Reports claim that Bergwijn might have a slight chance of making the bench and, while nothing has been confirmed, it would be a surprise to see any of those three men featuring on Sunday.

There are no suspensions so Bergwijn, Moura and Sessegnon are the only three who are likely to be unavailable.

Match Odds

Recent form and the benefit of home advantage means that Arsenal will start Sunday’s game as the favourites. The hosts can be found at best odds of 13/10 with MansionBet and 10Bet while victory for Spurs is further back at 40/17 with VBet. Completing the result betting is the draw which is on offer at a top price of 41/17 with VBet once again.

Arsenal have also provided some symmetry in their results with 1-0 wins over Norwich and Burnley which followed three straight league defeats. Those are hardly convincing but it’s our recent league form which has made the home side favourites to take all three points.

Side Markets

Arsenal’s Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is favourite to open the scoring at 47/10 with VBet while Harry Kane is just behind at best odds of 5/1 with Unibet. Kane is yet to find the net in the Premier League but he has been on target in other competitions and scored our second against Wolves in midweek.

Son Heung-Min is Tottenham’s next option at 13/2 with Unibet while other options from a Spurs’ perspective include Lucas Moura at 10/1 with 888Sport, Dele Alli at 11/1 with 10Bet and Steven Bergwijn at 12/1 with Betway. Remember, however, there are some injury clouds so be sure to check the team sheets if you are considering either Moura or Bergwijn.

Harry Kane

Harry Kane

An interesting stat shows that in ten combined league games involving these two sides, Both Teams to Score would not have landed in any of those matches. We might, therefore, expect BTTS to climb to a respectable price and it’s not too bad at a best of 10/11 with MansionBet. If you want to vote ‘no’ on Both Teams to Score, you can claim 51/50 with Novibet but that trend will surely come to an end before too long.

In the Overs and Unders markets, you can bet Above the 2.5 total combined goals line where you will find best odds of 11/10 with BetFred and 10Bet. To push that a little higher, Unibet are quoting 27/10 to go above 3.5 goals.

All of this leaves us with some correct score options. If you have a positive outlook then you may want to take a 2-1 away win at 12/1 with MansionBet. The same outcome in favour of the home side can be found at a top price of 39/4 with MansionBet once again while the 1-1 draw carries the shortest odds in this market at 27/4 – also with MansionBet.

Last Season

Our recent head to head record against these opponents is a good one although the corresponding fixture last season ended in a 2-1 defeat. It had all started positively enough with Erik Lamela’s Rabona goal leaving us with a lasting memory of what the Argentinian could produce when at his best.

Lamela’s strike opened the scoring on 33 minutes but the scores were level at half time. A 64th minute penalty ultimately sealed the contest but there was time for Erik to show the other side of his game with a second yellow on 76 minutes.

That was Arsenal’s first win over us since December 2018 and, if we go back to the start of that year, Spurs have won four, drawn two and lost two of the eight games played between the two sides.

Verdict

tottenhamHow can we predict this one with any level of certainty? After a strong opening, it’s largely been poor ever since, aside from a reasonable first half against Chelsea last week. On paper, it should be close and many neutrals could look to a share of the points. Alternatively, there is our semi regular bet on either side to win by one goal: It’s not appeared at the time of writing and, in any event, we aren’t in the habit of even hinting at a win for this opposition.

Instead, we’ll focus firmly on the side bets and start with Both Teams to Score. It’s incredible to think that neither side has converted on BTTS in the league this season but that trend has to end at some point.

Over 2.5 goals has edged above Even Money based on those scoring stats and that’s a rare price. You can push higher but 11/10 is about as good as it gets for a stake Over the 2.5 line.

Finally, Harry Kane to open the scoring finishes things off. He’s yet to find the net in the EPL in 2021/22 but that’s another statistic that has to come to an end very soon.

Best Bets

  • Both Teams to Score at 10/11 with MansionBet
  • Over 2.5 goals at 11/10 with BetFred
  • Harry Kane to score the first goal at 5/1 with Unibet

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