Tottenham Hotspur v Southampton: Spurs or Saints to March in?

tottenhamThe season stumbles on and all that was really missing from the unwanted list was an injury to Harry Kane. That’s now been addressed and, with the EFL Cup less than a week away, the latest diagnosis suggests that our key striker will miss the Wembley final.

Talks of a European Super League were something of a surprise in contrast but more of that later. For now, it’s all about taking on Southampton in Wednesday’s 6pm kick off. Clearly the aim of finishing in the top four looks irrelevant in the light of Sunday’s news but let’s try and focus on winning three points.

Team News

Obviously the big news concerns Harry Kane’s injury which was picked up in the dying seconds of Friday night’s 2-2 draw at Everton. An early prognosis was slow in coming through and all we have this morning are some wooly suggestions claiming that Kane will be out for two to three weeks.

More informed news will follow but clearly Harry will not be playing any part in Wednesday’s game with Southampton.

Elsewhere, Ben Davies and Matt Doherty sat out the Everton match and, while Davies was pencilled in for a return against Southampton, it seems unlikely that either will be risked.

Match Odds

Despite the club’s issues, Spurs remain favourites for Wednesday night’s game and can currently be claimed at best odds of 17/20 with Novibet and Unibet. The draw is next up at a top price of 14/5 with Betway while victory for Southampton is close behind at 16/5 with BetFred and 10Bet.

As with the Everton game last week, those odds are largely based on our opponents’ form as opposed to the threat posed by Tottenham. Prior to Sunday’s FA Cup semi final with Leicester City, the Saints had won two and lost three of their previous five matches. Two of those three losses had come against relegation strugglers Brighton and West Brom while the wins were over Burnley and Bournemouth in the cup.

That’s not an encouraging form guide for anyone backing the outsiders but this is a good time for any team to play Spurs.

Side Markets

Harry Kane may be set to sit this one out but a number of Sportsbooks are still offering prices against our main striker. Obviously he should be avoided and, in his absence, Carlos Vinicius will start as favourite to open the scoring at best odds of 19/4 with Unibet.

Son Heung-Min slots in as second favourite at a top price of 5/1 with Unibet again while Gareth Bale is just behind at 11/2 with VBet.

Son-Heung Min

Son-Heung Min

Southampton’s first option in this market is Danny Ings at 6/1 with Unibet again while other picks from a Spurs perspective include Dele Alli at 8/1 with Betway, Lucas Moura at 10/1 with Unibet and Erik Lamela at 11/1 with Unibet.

Moving on from the individual goal scorer markets, Both Teams to Score is available for Wednesday evening’s game at best odds of 13/17 with RedZone. BTTS has come in across all of our last three matches so it might look safe but that’s not a great price.

Better value should be available in the Total Goals betting where punters can go Above the 2.5 line to receive best odds of 4/5 with SportNation and RedZone. By pushing that a little further, we can claim odds of 9/5 with BetFred for backing Over 3.5 goals in this contest.

All that remains are our regular suggestions in the Correct Score market. Anyone retaining an optimistic viewpoint could look at a 2-0 home win which is available for this game at 17/2 with SportNation and VBet. At the other end of the spectrum, a 1-0 victory in favour of Southampton can be found at 14/1 with SportNation and RedZone.

Somewhere in between is a 1-1 draw which is on offer at a best of 31/4 with RedZone once again.

Last Season

Tottenham’s corresponding fixture with Southampton in 2019/20 was an eventful one with Spurs hanging on with ten men to beat the Saints by two goals to one. This was the game where first half goals from Tanguy Ndombele and Harry Kane were enough to seal the three points but those mere facts don’t come close to telling the full story.

Tanguy’s opener came on 24 minutes as he drove a left foot shot past a sea of players and through the keeper’s hands. It was all looking relatively comfortable until the mood changed on the half hour mark as Serge Aurier received his second booking of the match.

Worse was to follow as 10-man Spurs were brought level eight minutes later. Hugo Lloris attempted a Cruyff turn on the goal line but was robbed by Danny Ings who tapped home. It was looking a bit grim at this point but Son Heung-Min and Christian Eriksen managed to set up Harry Kane who put Spurs back in front just before half time.

A repeat of that scoreline, without all the drama, would be most welcome.

Verdict

southamptonWe are honestly trying to stay optimistic but the club doesn’t make it easy to go into a match with a positive outlook. The combination of confusing team selection, baffling substitutions and heartless displays from those who are involved is making this a little hard to stomach right now. The additional talks of a Super League are another confusing distraction.

We had, however, said at the start of the website that we were not going to be just another moaning Spurs blog so let’s see how we can be optimistic about this. The absence of Harry Kane may just see Gareth Bale involved at the start and we know that he can turn any game around in an instant. Dele Alli may even be introduced in time to make an impact.

With the super league news breaking, Harry Kane’s injury and a Wembley final approaching, this is a strange fixture and in many ways it’s an unwelcome one right now. We can win it of course and it will be interesting to see the formation which is used in Harry’s absence.

To round off, we’ll stay with two tips and hope that we can get an edge over the Saints in midweek.

Best Bets

  • Over 3.5 Goals at 9/5 with BetFred
  • Lucas Moura to score at any time in 90 minutes at 18/5 with Unibet

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