Bournemouth v Spurs: Cherries Ripe for Dispatching
The phrase ‘a win’s a win’ was never more apt than on Monday when Spurs squeezed past Everton. In truth, the away side rarely threatened and we had enough chances to treble the scoreline at the very least but it was a narrow and very hard-earned victory.
On the back of that 1-0 win, we now travel to Bournemouth as the packed fixture schedule continues. The Cherries have been struggling under Eddie Howe this season and, while they remain in touching distance of safety, Bournemouth are in dreadful form as they prepare to host Jose Mourinho and his men.
Once again, a quick turnaround means that it’s hard to identify any confirmed team news. Of the players that have been unavailable up until this point, it’s felt that Troy Parrott may be ready to make the squad but, given his use by Jose Mourinho, that may be something of a footnote.
Three substitutions were made on Monday night but nobody appeared to be struggling with injury so we should be close to full strength once again for the trip to the South Coast.
Following Bournemouth’s poor run of results, Spurs have been installed as odds on favourites despite some decidedly mixed returns of their own. Ahead of Thursday’s match, the away side can be picked up at best industry odds of 7/10 with BetFred and GentingBet. The draw is the next option on the list at a top price of 3/1 with Unibet and 888Sport while victory for Bournemouth is the outside option at a best of 17/4 with SportingBet and GentingBet.
Defeat to Manchester United on Saturday meant that Eddie Howe’s men had lost all of their previous five matches. Every game since project restart has ended in defeat so those pre-match odds are based more on their form than that of Tottenham’s.
Spurs fans will know that this may not be as clear cut as the market suggests but do we have the players in place to convert on those numbers?
A Michael Keane own goal was enough to give Spurs victory on Monday night so the first goalscorer market is largely unchanged for the Bournemouth game. Harry Kane is the favourite to open the scoring at best odds of 10/3 with 888Sport and Unibet and he’s followed by Son Heung-Min at a top price of 5/1 with Ladbrokes and SportPesa.
Spurs’ players feature strongly at the top of this market with Dele Alli next up at 6/1 with Coral and Betway. Steven Bergwijn is next at a best of 13/2 with Unibet and 888Sport while some longer shots for Tottenham might include Lucas Moura at best odds of 8/1 and Erik Lamela at a top price of 9/1 – both with Ladbrokes and Coral.
Bournemouth’s first representative in the first goalscorer betting is Callum Wilson at best odds of 15/2 with 888Sport and Unibet while strike partner Josh King is out at a top price of 10/1 with VBet.
Issues in front of goal for both sides means that the Both Teams to Score bet is close to Even Money for Monday night. SportingBet and Betway are both offering the best industry odds of 3/4 and that could be a sound option.
Elsewhere, the Over 2.5 goal market shows that same top price of 3/4 – this time with VBet and GentingBet. Spurs’ shyness in front of goal since the restart might deter punters from going any higher but, Bournemouth’s leaky defence means that Over 3.5 needs to be considered at a top price of 15/8 once again.
If we’re going to be positive, a 3-1 home win would be a tempting option in the Correct Score betting at 12/1 with GentingBet and SportingBet. Alternatively, a 2-1 victory for Spurs is quoted at 15/2 with the same two bookmakers while an identical scoreline in favour of Bournemouth is available at 15/1 – just with SportingBet.
If we take a look at Bournemouth’s list of leading goal scorers we can see just why they’re having such a poor season. Callum Wilson is now an England international and a player who has supposedly been on Manchester United’s radar but he’s managed just eight goals this season from 29 EPL games.
Strike partner Josh King has been even more disappointing with five goals from 22 so we’re not exactly facing the division’s most potent strike force. However, as Spurs fans we all know to our cost that we are usually nicely placed to allow struggling strikers to get back into form.
We suspect that this is likely to be tight and, according to many predictions, there won’t be too many goals in it. Bournemouth’s record in terms of goals scored and conceded does need analysing, however, and maybe that will give us some pointers as to where this is heading.
Since returning to action with a 2-0 home defeat to Crystal Palace on June 20th, the Cherries have conceded 12 goals in four matches while scoring three times at the other end. The fact that they put two past Manchester United on Saturday and had a goal disallowed which would have made it 3-3 suggests that there could be more goals than many pundits are predicting.
Tottenham’s hesitancy in front of goal makes it a tougher call but, while we will avoid tipping the result, we will take some bets that rely on a higher scoring match. Over 3.5 goals rarely hits the heights of 15/8 so we’ll start with that while Both Teams to Score looks likely. Spurs did shut out Everton on Monday but that was largely due to the toothless display by the Toffees. Bournemouth are desperate for points and they will look to come out firing.
Lastly, while we were tempted to back Dele Alli for an anytime goal, we’ll look for a one goal winning margin for either team. Tight, but high scoring is how we are looking for this game to develop.
- Both Teams to Score at 3/4 with SportingBet
- Over 3.5 Goals at 15/8 with VBet
- Winning Margin of one goal on either side at 6/4 with Betway