Newcastle United v Tottenham Hotspur: Magpies Buoyant but Momentum with Spurs
As the Premier League returns following the second international break of the new season, there’s sure to be a party atmosphere at St James’s Park on Sunday. Newcastle United have new owners and the potential to finally compete with the likes of Manchester City and Chelsea in the over the top transfer stakes.
But for now, the Magpies have the same team and, at the time of writing, the same manager that has taken them into the bottom three. Newcastle have just three points from seven games so will there really be any uplift in their fortunes over the next few weeks?
Tottenham travel on the back of that 2-1 home win over Aston Villa last time out so, in theory, the momentum is with us for this 4.30pm kick off.
We’re having to compile this preview a day earlier than usual so the team news is a little thin on the ground at the moment. Before the international break, Steven Bergwijn and Ryan Sessegnon were our long term absentees and the reports that are out there suggest that the two will miss out once again.
Joining them could be Ben Davies who had to withdraw from the Wales squad due to illness and there doesn’t appear to be any subsequent updates on our left back. Our South American players were also in doubt following international commitments but it’s a case of ‘watching this space’ and waiting for official news from the club website.
Based on form, Spurs will go into this match as favourites and the best odds on the away win currently stand at 23/20 with BetFred and MansionBet. Victory for Newcastle is next at a top price of 5/2 with BetFred again and, while it’s also possible to get 5/2 on the draw, the best figures for a share of the points are the 13/5 offered by Unibet.
While we’ve been pointing to the fact that Newcastle remain in the relegation zone, our own form isn’t anything to get excited about. Spurs’ win over Aston Villa prior to the international break came as a huge relief after a run of three straight league defeats. Steve Bruce’s men have yet to win in any competition this season but our patchy performances will give the home side hope, at the very least.
Harry Kane has yet to score in the league and his performance against Hungary in midweek has drawn some criticism. Despite that, our main striker remains as the favourite in the first goalscorer betting at best odds of 15/4 with Unibet.
Newcastle’s Callum Wilson is next at a top price of 5/1 with Unibet again while Son Heung-Min follows at 6/1 with VBet. Other options from within the Spurs’ camp include Lucas Moura at 8/1 with Unibet, Dele Alli at 10/1 with SportNation, Giovani Lo Celso at 14/1 with 888Sport and Tanguy Ndombele at 14/1 with 10Bet.
Moving on to team bets, Both Teams to Score is listed for this one at best odds of 20/27 with MansionBet. Given that Spurs were six games in before BTTS landed, that may be too short but we think it has a strong chance of landing.
Total Goals may be a better option, starting with Over 2.5 at a top price of 5/6 with 10Bet. To take that one step further, you can claim 2/1 with Unibet to go Over 3.5.
All that’s left is our regular look at some Correct Score suggestions and there could be some neutral interest in a 2-2 draw which is currently listed at 37/4 with 10Bet.
Alternatively, those of us who are looking ahead with optimism could consider a 2-1 away win at best odds of 9/1 with MansionBet while the same outcome in favour of Newcastle United can be taken at a top price of 13/1 with MansionBet again.
I mentioned a few weeks back that a number of these last season sections will follow a similar pattern and this is the perfect example. Failing to hold onto a lead was a defining theme through Jose Mourinho’s reign and the corresponding fixture in April 2021 underlines this trend.
Mourinho, who was about to pay the price for a poor season, blamed our ‘defensive instability’ for allowing Newcastle to get back into this game and level up for a share of the points at 2-2. It had all looked promising in the first half with a brace from Harry Kane putting us 2-1 up at the break after Joelinton had put the Magpies ahead.
In the second period, there was no addition to the score until Joe Willock notched the equaliser five minutes from time. It was a depressingly inevitable outcome and a trend that ran right through the last campaign.
It’s difficult to know what to expect from any of our games this season and Sunday’s fixture is as tough to call as any. There will certainly be that lively atmosphere in the ground but will it be enough to give an underperforming team a lift? Many of those Newcastle players could be thinking that they won’t be around for too much longer and that’s not exactly an inspiring situation.
The question then is whether Spurs are in a good position to take advantage and our recent form suggests that this could go either way. As a neutral, I wouldn’t bet on this game with any great confidence but nobody would be shocked to see a repeat of the 2-2 draw from last season.
With that in mind, we’ll start by taking Both Teams to Score and we’ll add in a bet Over the 2.5 goal line. We’ve been shy in front of the target this season but looked marginally more potent against Aston Villa and we’re looking for that trend to continue.
Son Heung-Min is a preferred pick for us in the first goalscorer betting. He’s looked our most likely scorer in the league and was sharp once again as we took on Villa last time out. Above all, let’s just hope we can silence the crowd and keep our brief, but positive run going.
- Son Heung-Min to score the first goal at 6/1 with VBet
- Both Teams to Score at 20/27 with MansionBet
- Over 3.5 Goals at 2/1 with Unibet`