Spurs v Chelsea: Top Four Sunday Showdown Awaits
A real six-pointer awaits at the new Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Sunday as Chelsea make the short trip across from West London. Victory in this match will take us above the Blues and into the final Champions League place and that’s an incredible thought considering that we were down in 14th place when Jose Mourinho took over last month.
Once again, there will be a lot of focus on Mourinho as he takes on one of his former clubs but in reality it’s all about the three points.
The squad has enjoyed a rare, seven day break following last week’s trip to Wolves so who is ready to face the Blues on Sunday? The mystery over Erik Lamela continues but at least he appears to have been definitely ruled out and there is no suggestion that the Argentinian will be available for Sunday’s clash.
Elsewhere, Michel Vorm continues to frustrate as he joins Hugo Lloris on the goalkeepers’ injury list. Reports suggest that Tanguy Ndombele is also ruled out and there is no Ben Davies once again. There are no suspensions to add to that list so we can expect few changes from the team that beat Wolves last time out.
The markets show odds-against prices on all three possible outcomes with Spurs emerging as narrow favourites to pick up all three points. Current figures show Tottenham in front at best odds of 10/7 with VBet while a win for Chelsea can be claimed at a top price of 39/20 with Unibet.
Completing the result betting is the draw at a best of 11/4 and there will be plenty of interest in that pick when the market is a tight one. A share of the points wouldn’t be the worst outcome and while we want to go into the Christmas period with an advantage over Chelsea, Spurs have three very winnable fixtures coming up and there is every chance that we can still finish 2019 in fourth. Of course we should be aiming for a win but the draw would do nicely moving forward.
Other Side Bets
Harry Kane and his England teammate Tammy Abraham are battling it out for favouritism in the first goalscorer market. Some bookies have both players listed at 3/1 to open the scoring while others have the Chelsea man in front of the Tottenham striker. Elsewhere, the best industry odds have Kane ahead at the time of writing at 4/1 with Unibet and 888Sport while the same two bookmakers have Abraham following at 5/1.
The market continues to be tight with no fewer than five players, three from Spurs and two from Chelsea, quoted at 13/2 in places. Michy Batshuayi and Olivier Giroud can both be claimed at those best odds of 13/2 with Unibet and 888Sport while SportNation and Betway have that same top price next to the name of Son Heung-Min.
As for some outside options, last week’s hero Jan Vertonghen is out at a top price of 66/1 with BetFred and Sport Pesa while supporters of the opposition may want to take a look at Mason Mount at his best odds of 21/2 with Unibet and 888Sport.
Our regular set of side bets show Both Teams to Score at a top price of 18/35 with SportNation and Sport Pesa. We’re used to seeing this bet at an odds on price and while it looks to be a near-certainty for Sunday, those numbers are a little short for comfort.
Instead, you could head for the Total Goals market where betting Over the 2.5 line will return 6/10 with William Hill and Black Type. That’s still short and we think you can be braver here and take the best odds of 6/4 from Unibet and Vbet on Over 3.5 Goals.
As for the Correct Score, we’ve been hinting at the draw so a 2-2 final outcome may be the way to go at 21/2 with SportingBet. Alternatively, a high scoring win could produce a 3-2 victory for Spurs at 20/1 with BetFred while the same outcome in favour of Chelsea is quoted at 22/1 with BetFred again.
Tammy Abraham made a positive start to the campaign and he remains in joint second place on the list of Premier League leading goal scorers. 11 strikes in 16 league games plus an additional two goals in Europe seem to make the England forward an obvious dangerman.
From further back, Tottenham will also need to watch Mason Mount. The England international is another player to have benefitted from Chelsea’s brief transfer embargo and he has five Premier League goals so far this season.
Head to Head
Sunday’s meeting will be the 165th game between these two sides and it’s fair to say that Chelsea have had the upper hand. Their record is undoubtedly helped by our long, winless streak at Stamford Bridge that only came to an end in 2017/18.
Overall, those previous 164 games show 70 wins for Chelsea, 54 victories for Spurs and 40 draws. Recent results, particularly at home, show an improvement but as always, it’s all about winning the next game.
Chelsea’s form is pretty dreadful, particularly if you take out that Champions League win over Lille. It leaves the side with three defeats including home losses to West Ham and Bournemouth while the Blues’ only victory in that time was a 2-1 scoreline against Aston Villa. It should be a good time to play Lampard’s men and clearly that’s why many of us are worried.
As we often say here, we should be winning this game but Chelsea have been erratic for much of 2019/20 and are always capable of springing a surprise. That’s why we’ve been touting the draw so much during this preview and while we clearly want the win, a share of the points would be positive ahead of the post-Christmas fixtures.
We won’t tip the result however as we’ve managed to convince ourselves that we are a jinx. Instead, Lucas Moura to score anytime looks a decent value punt at 5/2 with Ladbrokes and Coral. The Brazilian scores important goals and produced another stunner at Wolves last Sunday.
We do think it will be high scoring and will therefore conclude by backing Over 3.5 goals. Hopefully, the majority of those strikes will be in Chelsea’s net.
- Lucas Moura to score anytime at 5/2 with Ladbrokes
- Over 3.5 Goals at 6/4 with Unibet