Tottenham Hotspur v Watford: Harry Against the Hornets

tottenhamEverything has gone swimmingly in the league so far and, apart from a brief European blip, it’s been the perfect start for new manager Nuno Espirito Santo. Two wins against quality opposition with no goals conceded has calmed a few nerves.

This Sunday, Tottenham need to keep that momentum going against one of the newly promoted sides. Watford began with a 3-2 home win over Aston Villa before going down at Brighton last time out.

Will it be three wins on the bounce for Nuno and his men or will the travelling Hornets arrive with a sting in their tail?

Team News

The big news this week surrounds Harry Kane who has committed to the club following a summer of speculation. It saves everyone a tiresome run in to the end of the transfer window and it could see the striker start in the league for the first time this season.

It’s another fast turnaround following Thursday night’s game but there didn’t appear to be any issues during the win over Pacos Ferreira. The concern prior to that match had revolved around Son Heung-Min but he appeared as a second half substitute.

With the exception of Joe Rodon, Nuno may just have a full squad to choose from.

Match Odds

Spurs start as odds on favourites for the first time in the league this season and the top price on the home win comes in at 4/9 with BetFred. The draw is the next option on the list at best odds of 15/4 with Betway and 10Bet while a win for Watford rounds things off at a best of 8/1 with Unibet.

The Hornets have started positively enough and they also won in midweek – a 1-0 victory in the EFL Cup over Crystal Palace. Goals have been shared around the team with four different scorers getting off the mark.

It’s still too early to call games with any real confidence based on form but early signs suggest that Watford may attack rather than look to sit back. It could be more open and attacking and it’s a match where more than one goal will be needed in order to decide it.

Side Markets

Having made a substitute appearance last Sunday, Harry Kane seems more likely to start this game so he could be a more viable option in the first goalscorer market. Harry is available at best odds of 11/4 with BetFred to open the scoring but it may still be worth checking those teamsheets before you commit.

Behind Kane, Son Heung-Min is quoted at 10/3 with BetFred again while Lucas Moura is next at 6/1 with Unibet. Dele Alli is available at 6/1 with VBet while Steven Bergwijn is on offer at 13/2 with Unibet.

Harry Kane

Harry Kane

Watford’s first representative in the first goalscorer betting is Troy Deeney who is out at a top price of 11/1 with Betway and BetFred.

Moving away from the individual markets, Both Teams to Score is on offer for this match at best odds of 15/13 with 10Bet and SportNation. It’s rare for ‘No’ on BTTS to carry the lower price but this is quoted for Sunday at 3/4 with 888Sport.

Total Goals betting shows a top price of 20/23 with MansionBet to go Over the 2.5 line. Alternatively, you can push that higher to Over 3.5 and that brings 43/20 with MansionBet once again.

Anyone heading to the Correct Score market can claim a third consecutive 1-0 league win for Spurs at 11/2 with Betway. The same outcome in favour of Watford is on offer at best odds of 21/1 with 10Bet while the 1-1 draw is quoted at a top price of 10/1 with MansionBet.

Head to Head

Sunday’s game at the new Tottenham Hotspur Stadium will be the 51st time that Spurs and Watford have met in senior competition. Over the previous 50, Tottenham have held the upper hand with 31 wins as opposed to 8 victories for the Hornets.

The remaining 11 matches have finished all square and that list of drawn games includes the last two encounters. While they’ve not quite been a bogey team in the Premier League era, the Hornets have been tough to beat at times and those last two draws came in the season that they went down.

Head to heads are interesting but it’s all about winning the next one and it may not be as straightforward as the odds are suggesting.

Verdict

watfordThe form guide may point to a comfortable home win, especially as Spurs have come through against two strong sides up to this point. At the very least, Watford should pose their own attacking threat and they have the capacity to threaten our record of two consecutive clean sheets.

With that in mind, we’ll start our predictions by taking Both Teams to Score. It’s rare for this market to head above Even Money and it’s done that on the back of those two shutouts against Manchester City and Wolves. That run will come to an end at some time and 15/13 is a good price.

The total goals market is equally interesting with the sportsbooks not expecting Waford to ‘trouble the scorers’. If the Hornets are to help convert BTTS, they should also be lifting the overall goal tally and we are looking to go Over the 3.5 line here.

Finally, Harry Kane to open the scoring may be an obvious tip but if it comes in then a profit is a profit. Much has been said about Harry in the last few weeks but his display against Pacos on Thursday was professional and clinical. Whatever may happen in the future, we could be looking at another prolific season from Harry Kane and, thankfully, he’ll be doing it in a Spurs shirt.

Best Bets

  • Both Teams to Score at 15/13 with 10Bet
  • Harry Kane to score the first goal at 11/4 with BetFred
  • Over 3.5 Goals at 43/20 with MansionBet

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