Watford v Spurs: Into the Hornets’ Nest

watfordWhen Tottenham hosted Watford earlier this season the Hertfordshire club were bottom of the table. A 1-1 draw helped the Hornets on their way and, as we travel to Vicarage Road on Saturday, new boss Nigel Person has transformed the team.

Spurs, as the stronger side, will start as favourites but Watford have the better form and there’s no doubt that this is a tough test. This is the Saturday lunchtime kick off, getting underway at 12.30pm so what can we expect from it all?

Team News

The injury news is marginally more positive in the sense that there are no new issues for Spurs ahead of this game. And, it is being reported that both Hugo Lloris and Ben Davies could be available for next Wednesday’s home contest with Norwich City.

For now, however, those two remain sidelined and they are joined on the physio’s bench by Harry Kane, Moussa Sissoko and Tanguy Ndombele. Meanwhile, Gedson Fernandes is the new addition to the Tottenham squad this week and he will wear number 30 as we move through the rest of the season.

Match Odds

Some might expect Tottenham to go into this game as an odds on shout but current form means we are out at 5/4 with many bookies including Betway and SportNation. We may be favourites but a win for Watford isn’t too far behind at best odds of 23/10 with Unibet while the draw completes the result betting at a top price of 13/5 with SportingBet.

We’ve mentioned that form guide so let’s take a look in closer detail. Watford are unbeaten in their last five and in terms of league matches, it’s three wins in their last four. Admittedly, two of those games were against struggling Aston Villa and Bournemouth but it’s been an impressive recovery for a side that looked dead and gone a few weeks ago.

As for Spurs, we have two draws, two defeats and that victory over Middlesbrough to show from our last five. Those indicators aren’t good so it’s time for our higher-quality squad to come through.

Other Side Bets

Son Heung-Min

Son Heung-Min

Harry Kane’s continuing absence shakes things up at the top of the first goalscorer betting and in fact, Watford’s Troy Deeney sneaks in as favourite in some places. Elsewhere, our very own Son Heung-Min leads the way at 9/2 with William Hill and Coral while Deeney follows at best industry odds of 6/1 with Unibet.

Next up are Watford’s Andre Gray and Tottenham’s Lucas Moura who are both available at a top price of 7/1 with Unibet while Gerard Deulofeu follows at a best of 8/1 with Betway. It’s a mix of both teams at this point but if you want to focus on Spurs, other options for us include Erik Lamela at a best of 21/2 with Unibet and 888Sport, Giovani Lo Celso at 11/1 with SportingBet and SportNation and Christian Eriksen at a top price of 12/1 with William Hill and BetFred.

Moving away from individual goal scorer betting, Both Teams to Score looks an obvious bet for this game. We’ve been constantly reminded that Jose Mourinho has overseen just one clean sheet since taking over in November and while this may look short at best odds of 7/10 with SportingBet, it should be a banker.

In terms of total goals, Tottenham have been harder to predict in recent weeks. We expected a tough afternoon against Liverpool but instead, a tight defence meant that there was only one goal in it. For Saturday’s game, you can bet over the 2.5 line to get odds of 5/6 with VBet or you can push that to Over 3.5 for a top price of 21/10 with SportNation and RedZone.

Correct Score suggestions are based on a tight afternoon at Vicarage Road. If you’re sitting on the fence, a 1-1 draw carries the shortest price in this market of 25/4 with SportingBet. Alternatively, 2-1 to Spurs is listed at 15/2 with Betway and 888Sport while the same scoreline in favour of Watford is quoted at 41/4 with SportNation and RedZone.

Dangerman

The first goalscorer betting indicates that Watford pose several threats but the man who leads the way in the markets is Troy Deeney. The club captain missed the start of the season but he’s come back and already leads the Hornets’ scoring charts with four goals in this campaign.

Actually, to be perfectly fair, there are four Watford players locked on four goals at present but Deeney has only played 11 league games out of a possible 22 so that’s an impressive enough statistic. At times, the dangerman is an obvious one and it’s no coincidence that Watford’s recovery has timed in with Troy Deeney’s return to the side.

Head to Head

tottenhamGames between these two sides date back to 1900 but while it’s a historic fixture, Spurs and Watford have only played each other on 49 occasions to date. Over that period, we have the upper hand with 31 wins, compared to 10 victories for Watford and eight draws.

Recent encounters since Watford returned to the Premier League in 2015 have continued that trend with seven wins for us, two draws and a solitary defeat in September 2018. However, it’s all about winning match number 50 but where are the points heading?

Verdict

While it may be wrong to suggest that Watford have been transformed, the climb off the bottom and out of the relegation zone has been remarkable. To an extent, some of the fixtures have fallen kindly for the Hornets but they have beaten both Manchester United and Wolves at home in recent weeks.

It’s going to be tough and we suspect that another draw is the most likely outcome. We cannot, however, afford too many of those right now so we must hope, rather than expect, a win on Saturday.

We were tempted to tip Troy Deeney for an anytime goal but let’s be faithful and switch to Lucas Moura. Both Teams to Score looks the safer option of the two so we’ll leave it there and aim for a positive start to our weekends.

Best Bets:

  • Lucas Moura to score at any time at 5/2 with 888Sport
  • Both Teams to Score at 7/10 with SportingBet

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