Tottenham Hotspur v Rennes: Last Chance Europa Saloon

tottenhamA former manager of Tottenham Hotspur once said that it was harder to get out of the Europa league than it was to get in it. This season we have dropped down a level but the same principle seems to apply.

The competition has provided us with some real low points – defeat to Pacos and NS Mura the most notable. Yet somehow we are still involved and can progress dependent on results from Thursday night’s final round of group matches.

In fact, we’re second favourites to win the first edition of the Europa Conference League. Odds of 9/1 from Unibet, behind Roma at 7/1, are typical of what you’ll find elsewhere. Before all that, we have to negotiate past group winners Rennes.

Team News

There are a number of issues to work through ahead of Thursday’s 8pm kick off. Of those who are definitely missing, Ryan Sessegnon serves a suspension following his sending off away to Mura while Cristian Romero continues to nurse a long term injury.

Elsewhere, Bryan Gil is listed as a major doubt along with Emerson Royal with both men missing the Norwich City game due to illness. There is better news on Sergio Reguilon who limped out of Sunday’s match on 22 minutes and he, along with Giovani Lo Celso, are said to have a chance of making the cut.

Match Odds

Our opponents may have already won the group but Rennes are very much the outsiders for Thursday’s match. The away win is quoted at 9/1 with QuinnBet while victory for Spurs is on offer at best odds of 3/10 with BetFred and Betway. Completing the result betting is the draw which can be claimed at a top price of 19/4 with MansionBet.

The French side have yet to lose in this competition and will go into this game on the back of three wins and two draws. Of course, it’s largely down to the side that we send out at the start of the game: A first choice starting XI should probably be strong enough but, as we’ve seen in earlier Conference League matches, the second string really just aren’t up to it.

In terms of league results, it’s been a mixed campaign for Rennes but they certainly have momentum as they come into this game on the back of a 5-0 away win at Saint-Etienne.

Side Markets

Harry Kane may have scored just once in the Premier League but he does have six goals in five European matches so far in this campaign. As with most of these group games, there aren’t too many options for individual goalscorer markets although Unibet have odds in place for Tottenham’s first scorer.

Harry Kane

Harry Kane

Kane kicks things off at 14/5, followed by Son Heung-Min at 18/5. Other options in this first Spurs goalscorer market include Dane Scarlett at 5/1, Lucas Moura at 6/1, Dele Alli at 6/1, Steven Bergwijn at 13/2 and Giovani Lo Celso at 10/1.

Moving on to team bets, there are far more options in play. Both Teams to Score is on offer for this one at best odds of 10/11 with QuinnBet.

In Total Goals markets, you can go Over the 2.5 line and claim 3/5 with Betway and SportNation. To take that one stage further, Betway and VBet are offering 6/4 to go Above 3.5 total goals.

In the Correct Score betting, a repeat of the 2-2 scoreline in France will currently return best odds of 20/1 with QuinnBet. Alternatively, a 3-1 home win can be found at 10/1 with 888Sport while a 2-1 victory in favour of Rennes is available at a top price of 22/1 with QuinnBet.

Reverse Fixture

The reverse fixture between these two sides ended in a 2-2 draw back on the 16th of September. Lucas Moura opened the scoring on 11 minutes before Rennes’ Flavien Tait levelled up before half time.

In the second period, Gaetan Laborde put the French side ahead before Pierre-Emile Hojberg’s 76th minute equaliser. Midfielder Tait was an unlikely scorer: Although he lands important goals for the side, he has just two goals in 14 league games this season.

Laborde is generally more of a threat and he arrives with a record of six in 13. Elsewhere, the man to watch is striker Martin Terrier. The 24 year old is the leading scorer in the league with eight in 16 but he’s yet to score in six Europa Conference League games so far this season.

Verdict

rennes-fcAs always with these group games, it’s so hard to make a call as we just don’t know how strong the starting XI will be. Clearly it’s a must win in the sole context of this competition but, looking at the wider picture, we have built up some momentum with three straight wins in the Premier League.

That brings us on to the question of whether it would actually be better to not take our first choice players across Europe every week. A top four finish has to be the priority although there is still a genuine chance of silverware here if we do progress.

Anyway, based on assumptions we’ll avoid making any predictions as regards to the result and any individual goal scorer options. There are so few goal scorer markets for these games anyway so we’ll pass on those for now.

Instead, we’ll start with Both Teams to Score. We’d hoped that this might have been higher after landing BTTS at 7/5 for the NS Mura match but 10/11 isn’t a bad price. Over 3.5 goals also looks likely and relatively generous at 6/4.

It’s hard to second guess the manager’s thoughts but a few changes with a strong bench could be the option, especially as we don’t have to travel this time. With that in mind, there should be a few goals and we remain hopeful that the majority of these will land in our opponents’ net.

Best Bets

  • Both Teams to Score at 10/11 with QuinnBet
  • Over 3.5 Goals at 6/4 with Betway

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