Tottenham Hotspur v Southampton: Spurs in Desperate Need of a Lift

tottenhamIt’s been a dismal few days for Tottenham Hotspur and some impatient fans are in dire need of a lift. In fact, let’s be honest, we are all desperate for three points and a positive display after that dismal EFL Cup exit to Colchester United in the week.

Standing in the way of this aim are Southampton who are below us in the table on six points but the Saints will probably think that this is a good time to be playing Spurs – even if we do have the home advantage.

Team News

With most of the first choice starting XI rested from the game with Colchester in midweek, there are few injury updates to report on. We’re writing this ahead of official confirmation from the club but we suspect that the only long term absentee will be Giovani Lo Celso. We’re keen to hear an update on Ryan Sessegnon who was originally expected to be back in contention for last Saturday’s game against Leicester City. In the wake of some poor team performances, could the former Fulham man be ready to claim a place on the bench?

Both Kyle Walker-Peters and Juan Foyth were in the EFL Cup squad and will battle for the right back’s slot but Mauricio Pochettino may well keep faith in Serge Aurier against the Saints. That’s about all we know right now but keep checking the club’s website or Twitter feed for confirmed updates closer to kick off.

Match Odds

Despite a run that has seen Spurs win just two games from eight in all competitions, we are the clear favourites to take the points here. Tottenham can currently be backed at best odds of 4/9 with Ladbrokes and Black Type while victory for Southampton is out at 7/1 with Unibet and RedZone. Sandwiched in between is the draw which is quoted at 15/4 with Unibet once again.

There will be plenty of punters lining up to claim a positive result for the away side and why not? The Saints are just one point behind us and while they have no great form of their own, the visitors should be more than hopeful of adding to our poor run.

Other Side Bets

harry kane

Harry Kane

Who are the players looking to get Spurs back to the winners’ enclosure? Harry Kane played no part in Tuesday’s defeat so the striker should be fresh and ready to lead the line. Kane is the favourite to open the scoring at 5/2 with BetFred while the same bookmaker has odds of 9/2 next to the names of Lucas Moura and Son Heung-Min.

Tottenham players continue to dominate and SportingBet are even putting in Troy Parrott at 9/2. Following on, Erik Lamela is quoted at 13/2 with Unibet and 888Sport while Dele Alli and Christian Eriksen can both be picked up at 15/2 with Black Type.

Finally, we come on to our first Southampton player as Danny Ings comes in at best odds of 10/1 with Betway while the same bookmaker offers up Shane Long at a top price of 12/1.

As far as our regular side bets are concerned, Both Teams to Score is on offer for this match at 5/6 with SportingBet and as this market rarely gets close to Even Money that may not be a bad punt.

Over 2.5 Goals can be claimed at 4/7 with Betway but this may be the time to go under that mark and take the 15/11 on offer from Bethard.

Finally, for our Correct Score suggestions we’ll offer up two possible outcomes – one for the optimists and one for the pessimists. A 3-1 home win is available here at best odds of 23/2 with Bethard while a 1-0 victory in favour of Southampton can be picked up at 23/1 with 10Bet.

Dangerman

We’ve seen that Danny Ings carries the shortest price of any Southampton player in the individual goal scorer markets and he’s an obvious favourite. The former Burnley and Liverpool striker scored twice in Tuesday’s EFL Cup win over Portsmouth but those were his first goals since a solitary strike on August 17th.

Ings offers some danger but another player to watch is Nathan Redmond. The winger scores important goals and has already been on the mark for Southampton this season.

Head to Head

southamptonSaturday’s game will mark the 194th meeting between these two old clubs and over many years, we have generally held the upper hand. The first contest took place in March 1897 when Southampton St Mary’s and Tottenham Hotspur drew 1-1.

Since then, Spurs have gone on to complete 81 victories while Southampton have won 63 and there have been 49 draws. Our recent record is especially encouraging with 10 wins out of the last 14 but the Saints claimed the points the last time we met in a 2-1 victory back in March.

The indicators look good but are we going to improve on that tally by 5pm on Saturday afternoon?

Verdict

It’s difficult to tip Spurs with any great confidence at the moment and we’ve avoided confirming any recommendations on the result since this bad run started at the end of last season. Of course we should be winning and we should win comfortably but are we just out of form or are there problems in the squad along the lines of those being reported in the media?

That’s a bigger question but for now, we hope there will be enough ‘togetherness’ to get three games on the board. Southampton have a similar record to us while one more draw keeps us ahead of the Saints at this stage of the season.

We suspect that Over 2.5 goals should be a safe bet but the odds involved just aren’t that interesting and we aren’t confident enough to go to Over 3.5. With that in mind, we’ll just offer up the two suggestions this week and hope that we’ll be producing our Monday round up in a better frame of mind.

Best Bets:

  • Both Teams to Score at 5/6 with SportingBet
  • Harry Kane to score the first goal at 5/2 with BetFred

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