Spurs v Manchester City: Back from the Break with a Tough Run of Games
Following a run that saw us take on three of the bottom sides prior to the international break, Tottenham now face a tough set of fixtures with Manchester City, Chelsea and Arsenal listed as the next three opponents.
City are first up in Saturday’s 5.30 kick off and, while it may always seem like a daunting task when Pep Guardiola’s men arrive at the new White Hart Lane, we’ve a reasonable record against this side in recent times.
Tottenham seem to have a clean bill of health from the international fixtures and that’s always a relief. Prior to the break, we were missing Japhet Tanganga and Erik Lamela but, at this relatively early stage, there seems to be no addition to the physio’s room.
The news on both absentees is also encouraging with both looking to be in contention for Saturday’s game. Lamela reported on social media that he is ‘hopeful’ of being fit while Tanganga seems more confident of being involved.
Our previews always go in ahead of official confirmation from the club but Jose Mourinho might just have a full squad to choose from this weekend.
Manchester City arrive in North London in tenth place and have won just three of their opening seven games in this EPL campaign. Despite that and the fact that they are conceding home advantage, the away side are clear favourites for the win at best industry odds of 5/6 with Betway and GentingBet. The draw is the next option at a top price of 3/1 with BetFred and SportNation while the win for Tottenham is quoted at a best of 16/5 with Unibet and VBet.
Neutrals would surely be looking at those numbers and thinking that there is some value in backing a positive result for Spurs. We are, after all, second in the table and some way ahead of City in that respect and we haven’t rolled over against this team in recent encounters.
There is, of course, the theory that we have yet to play a big club in this campaign but we’d be hopeful, if not 100% confident, of earning a point at the very least.
This is the type of game where we’d expect to see some competition for Harry Kane in the first goalscorer betting although it’s a surprise to see that most bookies have put our striker behind Liam Delap. Sergio Aguero kicks things off here at best industry odds of 4/1 with Unibet and 888Sport while the same two bookmakers have Gabriel Jesus available at a top price of 24/5.
Raheem Sterling and Delap are both quoted at a best of 11/2 with Betway while Harry Kane is also at 11/2 with Unibet.
Other first goalscorer options from a Spurs’ perspective include Son Heung-Min at best odds of 8/1 with VBet, Gareth Bale at 17/2 with 888Sport, Steven Bergwijn at 11/1 with Unibet and Lucas Moura at 12/1 with 888Sport.
In other side bets, Both Teams to Score is predictably short this week with SportNation and RedZone quoting the best industry odds of just 8/13. It might be interesting to note that, while Tottenham are generally a good option for BTTS, this would have failed to land in three of our last five games. With that in mind, punters might prefer to vote ‘no’ on Both Teams to Score where Unibet and 888Sport are quoting 27/20.
Total Goals options could start with the 2.5 line where the best odds for going over this mark currently stand at 4/6 with RedZone and SportNation. More attractive numbers start to land when we push to Over 3.5 which is available at 28/17 with SportNation and RedZone.
We round off, as always, with the correct score betting and those with a positive outlook can take a 2-1 home win at 13/1 with 10Bet. Alternatively, the same outcome in favour of Manchester City is listed at 31/4 with SportNation.
The corresponding fixture in 2019/20 was played at the start of February and it ended in a 2-0 win for Spurs. Goals from Son Heung-Min and a first in a Tottenham shirt for Steven Bergwijn sealed the victory after City had seen Oleksandr Zinchenko sent off on the hour mark.
Since Saturday’s opponents received their significant investment, we have been on the wrong end of some heavy defeats but we’ve actually held the upper hand at home over recent encounters. Notable, positive results for Spurs include that 4-1 win in 2015 and a 1-0 victory in the quarter finals of the Champions League ahead of our run to the final.
Clearly we have nothing to fear when Manchester City make the trip down to North London on Saturday. Not only are our opponents in a poor run of form, they’ve also made a subdued start to the season with those three wins from their opening seven matches.
That doesn’t mean that they’ve become a bad side in a short space of time and clearly it’s a tough fixture as it’s been for many seasons now. Therefore; we’ll simply repeat that we are hopeful, rather than confident, of claiming a point at least.
As for confirmed tips, we’ll hedge our bets slightly by taking our favoured option of either team to win by one goal. This twist in the winning margin market is provided by Betway and it’s given us some reasonable returns over the past few seasons.
Both Teams to Score looks a strong option this time but it’s too short for comfort so we’ll aim for better odds and stake on Over 3.5 combined goals in the game. We are more confident that Spurs will find the net and it’s time for Son Heung-Min to provide in a game where he scored our opener and winner last season.
- Winning Margin of one goal on either side at 6/4 with Betway
- Son Heung-Min to score at any time in 90 minutes at 13/5 with SportNation
- Over 3.5 Goals at 28/17 with RedZone